NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335e4ff62c50f962630dde42bbfc8a52f756d1f46db95ba8981e2cfb277ec7e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over | 45c | 1,096$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 61c | 822.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 39c | 610.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 516.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 54c | 430.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 367.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Over | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 55c | 273.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 59c | 160.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 58c | 109.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 73.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 61c | 59.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 43c | 53.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 60c | 42.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 70c | 40.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 44c | 39.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 40c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 44c | 25.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 46c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Predators: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Predators won
- Wild vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Wild vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.