NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f122da5da20a1a1255bc2f93d6dc053a7ae1b444b813920b6243e38262434bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Wild, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 31c | 1,178$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.16 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Predators | 69c | 853.39$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 71c | 279.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Predators | 76c | 276.21$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 31c | 217.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Wild | 33c | 175.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 69c | 170.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 28c | 170.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Predators | 70c | 159.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Wild | 31c | 133.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Wild | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Wild | 31c | 86.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Wild | 29c | 85.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 69c | 81.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Predators | 67c | 81.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wild | 18c | 76.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Predators | 68c | 75.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Predators | 69c | 65.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Predators | 69c | 62.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Predators | 67c | 61.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Predators | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Wild | 33c | 58.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Predators | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Predators | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Wild | 28c | 42.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Wild | 29c | 41.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Wild | 29c | 41.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Wild | 29c | 41.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Wild | 29c | 41.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Predators | 67c | 40.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators | 77c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Wild | 31c | 34.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Predators | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 69c | 29.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Predators | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Predators | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Predators | 71c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Predators | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Wild vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wild vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.