MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d1315f31cf91c34e7ddd7458a0518f34873c4385f2e246c700cf9d5f2c66c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof San Francisco Giants, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 65,443$34,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,030.31 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 49,882$24,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,996.21 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 10,900$6,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.32 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 10,838$5,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635.59 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 10,701$5,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,857.06 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 10,074$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.65 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 8,921$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.88 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 8,019$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 7,404$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.46 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 5,346$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 5,035$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.55 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 4,998$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…61bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,827$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.07 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.83 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,717$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.35 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,561$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.14 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 3,120$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…debdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,945$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,614$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.13 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,450$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.83 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 2,415$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…125ebacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,297$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,265$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,036$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.15 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,998$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.13 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,971$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,777$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.13 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 1,772$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.34 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…e13abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,761$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 1,761$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,639$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,623$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,280$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.91 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,252$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.39 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,128$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 1,114$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.19 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,008$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.49 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 945.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…16dbbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 940.74$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 929.51$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 922.64$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.77 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 848.76$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.87 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 840.84$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 778.56$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.31 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 708.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 688.09$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 666.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.71 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 662.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 633.48$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 611.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked San Francisco Giants | 23c | 610.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 579.87$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 538.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 528.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 507.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 497.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 474.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 455.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.26 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 453.01$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 435.9$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 435.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 416.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 414.82$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 386.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 378$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 377.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 374.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 344.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 338.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 324.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704c…19afbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 290.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 282.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 277.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 272.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 264.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 245.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 239.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 237.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 237$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 236.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 235.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 233.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7286backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 228.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.