MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14a3909b15ce3f3bac8347f1d61c792c90515c90054320b492c38f25c975bf26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Over | 49c | 295,659$145,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,232.23 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 74,603$37,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,301.44 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 55,567$28,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,890.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 33,892$17,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,005.58 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 25,716$13,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,029.76 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 20,600$10,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,293.61 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 19,522$9,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,823.6 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 51c | 15,655$7,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.23 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 13,862$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.39 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 12,521$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,511.17 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 7,410$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.66 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 6,339$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.16 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 6,199$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.66 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 5,394$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 3,300$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.67 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,618$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.67 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Under | 45c | 2,375$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.21 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,098$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.37 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,029$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Under | 24c | 1,528$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 42c | 1,497$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.02 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 5c | 1,245$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 50c | 1,107$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.26 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,050$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.26 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 48c | 1,037$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 982.05$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.85 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 64c | 978.65$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.29 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 950.39$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 51c | 930$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.3 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 885.17$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 37c | 854.82$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.85 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 52c | 843.06$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 70c | 733$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Over | 48c | 683.04$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 48c | 678.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 650$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 48c | 599$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 6c | 586.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 468$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 10c | 427.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +597.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 402.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 52c | 399.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 35c | 379$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Over | 49c | 363.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 50c | 353.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Over | 42c | 323.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 44c | 319.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 309.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Over | 51c | 300.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 49c | 294.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 52c | 288.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 52c | 277.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 272.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 251.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…0b46backed Over | 49c | 245.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 20c | 225$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Over | 52c | 217.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 40c | 213.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 51c | 206$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 51c | 194.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 63c | 186.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 58c | 179.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 47c | 177.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Over | 47c | 137.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 47c | 137.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 52c | 136.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 53c | 133.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…83c6backed Over | 49c | 121.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 53c | 120.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 49c | 97.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 59c | 93.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 92.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…fbbebacked Under | 52c | 78.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 50c | 77.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 74.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.