TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c19,967$9,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,783.761,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c19,554$9,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,581.3243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.972951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c2,665$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under48c2,661$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.177852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under48c2,126$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.186150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under55c1,768$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.7665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c1,364$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under50c1,289$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.851,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,281$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,120$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Over51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5392828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa304…b075backed Over52c1,091$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under47c1,089$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.371,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,086$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under51c1,012$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.338429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Under50c1,012$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Under47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.993040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c987.21$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Under47c859.29$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.877445.9%34 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked Under47c859.28$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under45c826.59$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Under44c735$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.420537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Under49c730$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c687.27$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under47c665.67$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8613551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over51c633.74$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.531560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c621.9$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c547.95$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.51,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over42c513.49$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.822,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c492.47$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over52c442.06$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c411.6$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over51c410.04$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c408.35$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over52c406.25$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over52c405.54$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8322047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c397.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.112,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c379.27$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under48c373.19$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c342.34$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c339.38$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c334.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.081,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over52c334.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over52c334.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c334.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c331.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c328.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over53c328.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9112752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under47c319$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c318.35$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c308$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Under46c289.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.295650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under49c269.27$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.436848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over51c265.93$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over52c265.59$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4810252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over51c262.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under50c198.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6514640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6515252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over53c185.77$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over51c182.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5914640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c179.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…f4e8backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under15c168.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2727937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c163.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over53c146.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.949854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…0327backed Under14c142.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Over52c140.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.241681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over53c130.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.267153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over52c128.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8416053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over51c124.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7536852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c124.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c112.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over52c112.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c109.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.131,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Under44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.326443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over52c106.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c99.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.732,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c96.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.171,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over53c94.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8132450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c90.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.515351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2511145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Over49c82.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.528762.1%54 W · 33 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Under48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over50c78.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5340750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under50c77.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.833251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Over49c77.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3518054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over50c76.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Over52c74.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.516254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4714444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.068657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.