TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under25c9,999$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.8511757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46f…4ad4backed Over58c9,982$5,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,219.781656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c6,795$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under43c3,587$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.61,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over75c2,160$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9420651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under36c1,773$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c1,560$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.291,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c1,061$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c967.08$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.71,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Over72c814.81$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.745160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over55c720.74$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over55c670.4$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6810256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c627.28$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.022,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under46c525.87$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.918748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under32c499.95$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9849938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over70c483.97$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1510239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under31c415.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.732,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over75c410.75$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.692,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over61c400.25$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.16656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over73c320.75$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.611873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over74c311.41$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under28c309.29$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3431345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c283.61$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.482,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c280.23$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.061,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Over71c276.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.272568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Over75c262.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.682867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over75c262.15$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.291,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over74c261.3$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over75c241.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over74c237.38$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over75c235.88$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over74c232.18$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under44c224.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over75c197.03$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over75c193.49$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.377448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under45c190.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2525641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over54c173.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over57c169.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.091,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under46c164.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6716249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over73c163.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.518544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under40c150.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.171,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c135.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.192,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under33c134.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.033,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under45c132.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6222351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under45c132.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.996842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Over75c131.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.858762.1%54 W · 33 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over75c131.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over75c131.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8322047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over75c131.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over68c130.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under32c125.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3622140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c123.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over74c121.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.011,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over74c121.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under45c119.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over58c117.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7836154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over73c114.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over74c114.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over74c112.9$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over74c112.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under32c106.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c101.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.551,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under36c100.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.285964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.627154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over75c93.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.299848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over75c93.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under35c92.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.417051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over75c87.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over75c86.92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7313153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over75c86.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over73c86.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3719550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under46c85.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1720040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over61c84.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0514157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under46c84.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7215650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.713138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under45c82.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3436749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under45c82.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9913447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over74c78.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5146346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under43c77.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over75c73.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under42c69.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2918444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under42c69.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2933159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under42c69.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2916653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over55c69.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0621350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under46c68.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.616245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under46c68.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.636153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec6…e52cbacked Under46c66.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.612356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c63.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Over71c58.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under38c57.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8813346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under30c57.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1619166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over59c50.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.635850%29 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over73c46.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6127646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa7…eba5backed Over64c45.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.391650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Over57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.373348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c41.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over67c39.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.