NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715fc9a127b855d3a5ec3ecc93e7f1e188f2a0dae52c27dceb46e6c49da4cd0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Rockets | 50c | 29,100$14,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,550 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 50c | 22,922$11,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,461.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Rockets | 38c | 22,488$8,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,968.99 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 51c | 21,740$11,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,089.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rockets | 44c | 14,302$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.35 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rockets | 49c | 13,655$6,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,964.02 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns | 56c | 12,916$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,232.87 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Rockets | 50c | 11,577$5,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.33 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 50c | 11,250$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Suns | 53c | 10,697$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.37 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 47c | 10,030$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.89 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 52c | 9,527$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 47c | 8,928$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Suns | 53c | 8,128$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.77 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Suns | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Rockets | 43c | 4,445$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.97 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 47c | 3,854$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Suns | 53c | 3,724$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.73 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 47c | 3,417$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.12 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 76c | 3,353$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.25 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Suns | 51c | 3,030$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.41 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 55c | 2,993$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Suns | 51c | 2,853$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…ef97backed Suns | 53c | 2,397$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Suns | 56c | 2,200$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rockets | 47c | 2,085$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Rockets | 50c | 1,937$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.31 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Rockets | 52c | 1,882$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.15 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Suns | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Suns | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,618$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Rockets | 50c | 1,446$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.13 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Suns | 51c | 1,413$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.77 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Rockets | 50c | 1,350$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.08 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Suns | 52c | 1,275$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.15 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Suns | 58c | 1,273$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.98 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,230$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Suns | 51c | 1,220$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.29 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,210$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…c6dbbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Rockets | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.35 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Suns | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.19 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…589dbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,019$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Rockets | 47c | 970.8$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.53 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Suns | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Suns | 54c | 880.29$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.54 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Suns | 54c | 844.04$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.05 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Rockets | 43c | 786.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.09 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Rockets | 50c | 760.77$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Rockets | 48c | 727.6$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.83 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Rockets | 47c | 693.05$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.16 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Rockets | 47c | 693.05$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.16 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets | 47c | 686.28$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.73 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets | 47c | 686.28$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.73 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 47c | 686.28$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.73 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 49c | 678.58$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Rockets | 48c | 678.32$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.04 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Rockets | 47c | 651.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.95 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 641.12$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Suns | 53c | 631.08$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Suns | 51c | 615.67$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Suns | 52c | 608.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.67 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Rockets | 45c | 589.87$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +183%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Rockets | 41c | 578.76$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.47 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Rockets | 50c | 574$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Suns | 58c | 562.46$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Rockets | 15c | 554.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.39 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rockets | 30c | 539.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Suns | 51c | 508.1$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Suns | 76c | 499.7$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.77 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Suns | 58c | 465.28$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Suns | 53c | 454.23$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Rockets | 47c | 439.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Rockets | 47c | 422.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Rockets | 33c | 410.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Suns | 76c | 374.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…9b95backed Suns | 51c | 368.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…e4dbbacked Rockets | 50c | 368.6$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns | 76c | 357.91$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Suns | 53c | 354.71$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Rockets | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 47c | 329.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Rockets | 47c | 319$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Suns | 64c | 317.58$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Rockets | 53c | 307.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Rockets | 38c | 300.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Rockets | 47c | 297.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Suns | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Rockets | 46c | 290.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Suns | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Rockets | 50c | 279.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Rockets | 47c | 251.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Suns | 76c | 250.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Suns | 71c | 246.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Suns | 51c | 239.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Suns | 51c | 213.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Rockets | 20c | 205.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Rockets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Rockets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Suns | 76c | 201.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Suns won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rockets vs. SunsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.