MLB · resolved market
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1488cca06935a876fa54c30243982db99052856f1f1900929a0f4f8e0f13ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 409,699$193,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,025.92 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 125,629$65,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,326.88 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 110,000$58,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,300 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 88,521$46,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,796.4 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 29,822$15,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,705.9 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 20,604$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,922.49 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 20,582$9,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,901.03 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 17,877$9,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,483.57 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 15,318$8,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,118.72 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 14,158$7,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,783.92 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 11,226$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 9,383$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 4,865$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.75 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 3,502$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.28 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.2 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 3,401$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.64 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…debdbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.04 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,181$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.74 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,139$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.94 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.24 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 1,008$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 845.02$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.31 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 782.36$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 777.92$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 700.76$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 643.5$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.06 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 636$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 627.5$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.82 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 563.77$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 538.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 517.79$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 508.41$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.71 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 465.62$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 382.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 374$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 340.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 322.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 320.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…9e6dbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a98…6ca9backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 285.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 261.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 198.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 193.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 173.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…83c6backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 168.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…1b06backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 160.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 159.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 139.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 131.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 131.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…ecb4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 122.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 119$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 114.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 111.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 97.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 89.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 88.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 84.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 81.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 75.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bd…55b1backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 73.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…1167backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 68.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2a0abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 66.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 64.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 60.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 50.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 49.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 49.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 46.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 45.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 44.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 42.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…c08bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 41.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 40.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 39.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…2c87backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…3531backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 34.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 33.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 33.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.