TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Chicago White Sox, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Kansas City Royals64c51,389$32,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,500.024047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox36c44,122$15,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,782.691,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago White Sox36c21,919$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,890.9238148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals64c15,288$9,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.598149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox37c14,085$5,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,211.281,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Kansas City Royals66c11,823$7,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,077.6751756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kansas City Royals63c11,482$7,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,248.2759549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals72c10,983$7,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.3210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago White Sox37c7,802$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.634756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Royals63c5,671$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.7565050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Chicago White Sox36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Chicago White Sox36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9111146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox37c4,811$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.072,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox19c3,920$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.718,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kansas City Royals64c3,131$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.1219053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1105,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kansas City Royals70c2,616$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.8521656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Chicago White Sox39c2,435$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.837348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Kansas City Royals61c2,369$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9246653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Kansas City Royals76c2,257$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.692245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kansas City Royals63c2,249$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.631,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kansas City Royals63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74027451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Kansas City Royals64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9513254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chicago White Sox27c1,545$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.751,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox25c1,525$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.832,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5225…5732backed Kansas City Royals72c1,180$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox22c1,144$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.562,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals79c1,135$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.626,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox37c1,088$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago White Sox4c1,066$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.351,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kansas City Royals61c1,013$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.941,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Chicago White Sox40c991$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.410842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals74c969.14$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.372,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…5a67backed Chicago White Sox39c963.4$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Chicago White Sox23c889.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3315740.1%63 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals77c871.58$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.061,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox37c802.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.071,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Chicago White Sox37c780.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6632350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Kansas City Royals62c730.32$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.5636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Chicago White Sox24c697.94$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3914039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Chicago White Sox25c686.67$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.549021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago White Sox22c591.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4255541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Chicago White Sox11c590.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0218748.1%90 W · 97 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kansas City Royals64c587.04$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3311744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals80c585.76$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.154,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago White Sox36c582.39$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6633852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Chicago White Sox34c564.94$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0841847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087b…713ebacked Chicago White Sox37c558.84$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox7c557.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox36c550$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago White Sox6c487.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Chicago White Sox37c481.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0185952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Chicago White Sox37c481.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0111041.8%46 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals75c463.37$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.849,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox37c450$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.21,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Chicago White Sox37c417.18$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.967650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Kansas City Royals63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14822851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kansas City Royals64c362.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6850751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals74c332.74$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.296,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Kansas City Royals64c328.74$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3512257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Chicago White Sox37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11135446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Kansas City Royals74c296.54$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1765651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7549…9745backed Chicago White Sox21c277.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals73c271.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.535,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Kansas City Royals73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.772161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked Chicago White Sox38c250.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1236345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Kansas City Royals60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago White Sox37c250$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.41,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f3…1cc4backed Kansas City Royals63c241.35$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7b…9c3abacked Kansas City Royals62c234.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.213145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Kansas City Royals63c224.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2528049.6%139 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Chicago White Sox20c220.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0516132.3%52 W · 109 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Kansas City Royals64c220.14$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Chicago White Sox38c216.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.324443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Kansas City Royals73c212$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Chicago White Sox38c211.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago White Sox37c210$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.61,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Chicago White Sox37c210$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.663644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Kansas City Royals64c204.49$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6120351.7%105 W · 98 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox22c202.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.891,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Chicago White Sox26c202.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5633228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.672,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Kansas City Royals73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce9…e3e2backed Chicago White Sox38c196.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.532166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+59.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Chicago White Sox37c192.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.234145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Chicago White Sox37c189.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2433547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Chicago White Sox37c187.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2828347.7%135 W · 148 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf477…7286backed Chicago White Sox26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.783327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Chicago White Sox28c181.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3111751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Chicago White Sox38c171.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.141030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Chicago White Sox7c170$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510544.8%47 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d62…eaf3backed Chicago White Sox38c169.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5119642.9%84 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Kansas City Royals64c168.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5824751.8%128 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Kansas City Royals73c163.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8512846.1%59 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kansas City Royals63c162.83$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox27c157.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.881,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Chicago White Sox35c153.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8272247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Kansas City Royals60c152.03$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6218754%101 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.