NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f23884174a862482e27592981a1ae33836427465b2df0b895f0a8291064591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Penguins, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $732,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 41c | 164,857$66,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,992.84 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Capitals | 58c | 145,316$84,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,032.71 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 60c | 112,923$67,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,556.71 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Capitals | 59c | 74,372$43,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,492.52 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…465cbacked Penguins | 40c | 72,696$29,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,078.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Capitals | 58c | 37,312$21,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,671.02 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Penguins | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Capitals | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Capitals | 61c | 18,306$11,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.1 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Penguins | 41c | 18,005$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.01 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Capitals | 60c | 17,010$10,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 42c | 16,302$6,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,830.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Capitals | 59c | 14,321$8,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,935.01 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 41c | 12,000$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Penguins | 42c | 9,550$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Capitals | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Capitals | 59c | 8,524$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.84 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Penguins | 42c | 8,134$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 41c | 7,816$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.28 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Penguins | 42c | 5,188$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Penguins | 43c | 5,160$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Penguins | 43c | 5,086$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.86 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 60c | 5,023$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.16 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Penguins | 42c | 5,022$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.41 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked Capitals | 60c | 5,020$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Capitals | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.98 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Penguins | 44c | 4,593$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 26c | 4,540$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.44 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Penguins | 42c | 4,429$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.51 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 42c | 4,285$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.74 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Capitals | 61c | 4,106$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.53 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Penguins | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.96 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 59c | 3,658$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Penguins | 41c | 3,609$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Capitals | 57c | 3,533$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.73 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Penguins | 42c | 3,448$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Penguins | 41c | 3,400$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Capitals | 59c | 3,047$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.23 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…1513backed Penguins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 59c | 2,931$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.51 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Penguins | 0c | 2,910$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Penguins | 21c | 2,862$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.1 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…3de7backed Capitals | 58c | 2,820$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Capitals | 80c | 2,761$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 42c | 2,679$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.82 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Capitals | 60c | 2,542$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.9 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Capitals | 58c | 2,463$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 38c | 2,186$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Penguins | 1c | 2,141$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Capitals | 59c | 2,002$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.68 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Penguins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…debdbacked Capitals | 60c | 1,926$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Penguins | 41c | 1,870$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.83 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 45c | 1,867$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,746$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.9 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Penguins | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Penguins | 33c | 1,542$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.8 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,502$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Penguins | 42c | 1,487$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.54 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Penguins | 43c | 1,479$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Capitals | 71c | 1,401$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.09 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Penguins | 41c | 1,360$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.6 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Penguins | 40c | 1,275$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Capitals | 60c | 1,201$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.4 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Penguins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 44c | 1,131$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 74c | 1,121$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 42c | 1,040$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Penguins | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.66 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Capitals | 59c | 1,021$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.59 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Capitals | 51c | 1,011$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.72 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,001$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.42 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Capitals | 59c | 1,000$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Penguins | 39c | 999.87$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.95 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Capitals | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…8809backed Penguins | 7c | 865.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Penguins | 43c | 850$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Penguins | 41c | 850$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Penguins | 29c | 839.96$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Penguins | 42c | 833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Capitals | 56c | 820.87$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.18 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals | 74c | 800.28$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 59c | 800.01$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Penguins | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Penguins | 34c | 777.3$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Penguins | 41c | 765$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.65 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Capitals | 71c | 757.78$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.76 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Penguins | 41c | 738.15$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Penguins | 41c | 729.95$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Capitals | 60c | 719.95$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Penguins | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Capitals | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…426abacked Penguins | 43c | 658.84$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Capitalsthis page
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 3.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.