NHL · resolved market
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe32956eaec8c289a469222f38ac339459f8b14fd6fc949955def4bd5b49503a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Capitals | 43c | 2,965$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.74 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Capitals | 37c | 2,552$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.8 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 37c | 2,400$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.06 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Capitals | 38c | 2,012$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Penguins | 62c | 1,757$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.48 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Capitals | 38c | 1,754$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.79 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penguins | 64c | 1,267$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.9 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Capitals | 39c | 1,111$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 61c | 1,048$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.19 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 62c | 999.16$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.15 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Penguins | 63c | 931.24$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.68 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…53e2backed Capitals | 38c | 770.24$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Penguins | 64c | 689.77$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.45 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Penguins | 62c | 639.01$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.83 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penguins | 62c | 547.23$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.28 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…bb95backed Penguins | 62c | 531.6$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…e443backed Penguins | 62c | 514.98$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Capitals | 37c | 513.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 55c | 506$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Penguins | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…9159backed Penguins | 62c | 495.44$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…ca43backed Penguins | 62c | 487.62$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Capitals | 42c | 462.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…766abacked Penguins | 62c | 456.35$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…08d2backed Penguins | 62c | 456$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…4046backed Penguins | 62c | 451.47$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…45e5backed Penguins | 62c | 450.49$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Penguins | 61c | 424.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d48…3e0abacked Penguins | 62c | 423.13$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 59c | 416.8$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.89 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…ca70backed Penguins | 62c | 409.45$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…f249backed Penguins | 62c | 405.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Capitals | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…1c09backed Penguins | 62c | 399.67$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cf…9202backed Penguins | 62c | 395.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 60c | 387.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…69babacked Penguins | 62c | 384.04$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…5053backed Penguins | 62c | 383.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c5…9a83backed Penguins | 62c | 363.52$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals | 40c | 346.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…7ebfbacked Penguins | 62c | 330.29$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…44fcbacked Penguins | 62c | 329.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…fbc4backed Penguins | 62c | 324.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…eeb9backed Penguins | 62c | 323$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…7a49backed Penguins | 62c | 321.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Penguins | 64c | 316.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…042ebacked Penguins | 62c | 315.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…1cc4backed Penguins | 62c | 314$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…4b57backed Penguins | 62c | 313.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…04f9backed Penguins | 62c | 309.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…3dcdbacked Penguins | 62c | 307.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Penguins | 65c | 299.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc958…ff8abacked Penguins | 62c | 299.02$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…a452backed Penguins | 62c | 294.14$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Penguins | 63c | 291.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Capitals | 38c | 287.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…99afbacked Penguins | 62c | 277.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Capitals | 39c | 277.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…49b9backed Penguins | 62c | 272.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…f46ebacked Penguins | 62c | 268.73$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dc…cd47backed Penguins | 62c | 265.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…56e3backed Penguins | 62c | 254.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1444…6dbebacked Penguins | 62c | 253.09$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9922…5310backed Penguins | 62c | 244.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…ec26backed Penguins | 62c | 222.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Capitals | 37c | 213.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…11ddbacked Penguins | 62c | 203.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Penguins | 59c | 199.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 62c | 196.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Penguins | 62c | 189.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…f030backed Penguins | 62c | 186.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc657…0a8fbacked Penguins | 62c | 185.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…e3f3backed Penguins | 62c | 176.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 58c | 176.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6791…7942backed Penguins | 62c | 171.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked Penguins | 64c | 166.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Capitals | 41c | 165.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penguins | 63c | 159.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…e38fbacked Penguins | 62c | 149.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9305…0fb6backed Penguins | 62c | 141.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Capitals | 38c | 137.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…0b50backed Penguins | 62c | 136.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Penguins | 62c | 134.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Capitals | 37c | 134.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Capitals | 39c | 134.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…1a02backed Penguins | 62c | 131.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Capitals | 38c | 125$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Penguins | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…2618backed Penguins | 62c | 112.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…0f9bbacked Capitals | 38c | 112$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…1d1bbacked Capitals | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…7130backed Capitals | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…11c6backed Capitals | 38c | 107$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Penguins | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…8b05backed Penguins | 62c | 104.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c3…004abacked Capitals | 38c | 104$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Penguins | 62c | 103.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Penguins | 37c | 103.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Penguins | 65c | 101.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)this page
- Penguins vs. CapitalsCapitals won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 3.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.