Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd793740ea6d03bce7b178f40f96a07429fd68a0f428fa849aa7fa4f07a2bfd42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,772,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,647,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,772,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36a3…fafbbacked Yes | 67c | 3,724,363$2,513,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513,207.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed No | 31c | 500,000$155,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 348,548$108,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,198.12 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 33c | 348,205$114,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,297.68 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 316,362$144,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,224.32 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 33c | 311,769$102,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,885.15 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 32c | 300,000$95,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,999.69 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 33c | 277,794$90,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,871.96 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 184,847$59,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,063.63 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 32c | 176,175$57,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,065.89 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 33c | 175,330$57,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,471.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 58c | 161,787$93,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,486.01 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 32c | 156,986$49,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,187.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 151,447$49,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,138.74 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 118,398$37,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,482 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 107,319$35,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,284.65 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 34c | 105,613$36,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,407.44 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed No | 31c | 100,015$31,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,010.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 31c | 100,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 31c | 90,000$27,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,100 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 79,713$54,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,474.9 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 33c | 60,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,199.95 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 47c | 58,859$27,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,125.5 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 33c | 51,800$17,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,706 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,500 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 68c | 49,517$33,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,892.69 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 45,964$21,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,802.51 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 68c | 45,637$30,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,835.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 40,541$15,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,719.7 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 31c | 40,109$12,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,481.05 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 33c | 40,049$13,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,832.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 33c | 40,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +99%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,199.85 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 35,523$12,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,848.82 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 32c | 30,888$10,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,850.63 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 30,683$9,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,919.93 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,099.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 33c | 28,164$9,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,869.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 32c | 27,031$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,380.99 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Yes | 47c | 26,669$12,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,521.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 32c | 26,094$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,814.58 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 69c | 24,983$17,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,141.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 33c | 24,896$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,797.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 33c | 24,734$8,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,571.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 24,661$9,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,139.82 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 40c | 24,339$9,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,689.72 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 24,174$10,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,548.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 32c | 24,048$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,312.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 33c | 22,798$7,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,273.66 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 31c | 22,116$6,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,149.74 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 68c | 21,635$14,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,712 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 51c | 20,442$10,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,425.51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,399.97 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed No | 51c | 19,831$10,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,718.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 32c | 18,378$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,583.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 61c | 17,426$10,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,629.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 34c | 17,277$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,453.02 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 32c | 17,135$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,651.75 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 33c | 16,692$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,183.62 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 32c | 16,170$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,995.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 32c | 15,770$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,723.51 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 31c | 15,245$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,473.39 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 32c | 14,720$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,009.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 32c | 14,012$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,548.38 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 37c | 14,010$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,886.6 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked No | 32c | 13,162$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…397abacked Yes | 68c | 12,745$8,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,666.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 67c | 12,253$8,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,209.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 32c | 11,918$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,104.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed No | 32c | 11,768$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,002.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 32c | 11,755$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993.54 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 36c | 11,691$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251.49 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 34c | 11,291$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.05 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 68c | 10,456$7,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,058.02 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 32c | 10,174$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,918.56 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 44c | 9,983$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.72 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 32c | 9,655$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.22 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 33c | 9,060$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 32c | 8,934$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,074.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 31c | 8,729$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…814cbacked Yes | 69c | 8,502$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 7c | 8,151$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.28 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 35c | 8,138$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.4 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 48c | 7,990$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.23 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…d98dbacked Yes | 69c | 7,882$5,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,438.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 40c | 7,745$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.78 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 62c | 7,735$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.63 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 34c | 7,697$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 35c | 7,262$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.74 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 68c | 7,212$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 35c | 7,077$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.44 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 32c | 6,857$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.9 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Yes | 7c | 6,595$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.