Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec285c636696dccfa43ebf0bd5619ee487f549071cb0f2b82f5b8c5e4426f9ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 35,082$26,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,238.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 26c | 16,270$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.17 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 21c | 11,908$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 11,259$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 8,551$6,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.27 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 21c | 5,978$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.36 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 4,927$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 4,653$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.82 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…314ebacked Yes | 32c | 4,312$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,112$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 3,819$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.93 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 80c | 3,791$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.51 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 3,270$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.91 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,242$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.55 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 77c | 3,075$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.52 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 2,794$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.7 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 18c | 2,682$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 21c | 2,495$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes | 22c | 2,424$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,348$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 25c | 2,287$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.05 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 2,279$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.77 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed No | 73c | 2,123$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,013$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.46 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 20c | 1,319$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 22c | 1,318$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.66 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 80c | 1,201$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 20c | 1,058$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.53 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…db38backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 6c | 985.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…1175backed No | 69c | 982.92$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a91…c1f2backed Yes | 21c | 977.48$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 899.96$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 885.8$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 48c | 861.47$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 27c | 860.58$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 786.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 773.79$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…1457backed Yes | 31c | 773.06$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 770.45$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 28c | 749.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked No | 67c | 728.23$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 31c | 617.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 31c | 616.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 19c | 605.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 559.18$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…e378backed Yes | 11c | 495.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 20c | 490.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 32c | 479.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…95c3backed Yes | 31c | 478.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 469.06$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.24 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 467.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Yes | 10c | 445.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 437.27$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 428.4$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…aa98backed Yes | 24c | 396.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 33c | 392.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 26c | 368.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 24c | 354.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…7738backed Yes | 20c | 352.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 350.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 341.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 31c | 340.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 75c | 338.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 21c | 313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 312.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…2858backed Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes | 20c | 285.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…ac99backed Yes | 20c | 276.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 29c | 264.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 20c | 261.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 32c | 243.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed No | 79c | 242.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…0e4cbacked Yes | 32c | 240.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 21c | 233.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 42c | 231.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5b…a7cebacked Yes | 21c | 226.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 37c | 216.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 20c | 211.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 24c | 207.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…7422backed Yes | 46c | 205.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 197.49$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.