TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$930,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,014,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes26c193,014$49,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,688.543234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes26c94,452$24,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,557.588940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes0c94,006$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0111636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No74c50,033$37,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,027.7513748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No74c47,867$35,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,445.534841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c38,278$28,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,789.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c34,711$9,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,383.561,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No73c30,000$21,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.997945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No74c25,000$18,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No74c23,945$17,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,225.6610848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No78c21,124$16,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.033234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…146abacked No73c19,952$14,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,360.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c19,406$14,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,996.991,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c17,224$12,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.182,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes28c16,125$4,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,496.643426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No75c16,000$11,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0406350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c15,709$11,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.22,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked No74c13,700$10,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes33c12,460$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.482725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No73c10,793$7,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.84261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes1c10,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No74c9,844$7,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.4418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed No73c9,796$7,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.877358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes20c9,669$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.6111234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c8,516$5,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.141,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No70c7,551$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes2c7,263$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.115831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed No75c7,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7506147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked No75c7,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c6,628$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.8456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No75c6,016$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.581973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes28c5,740$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.722646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked No74c5,333$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c5,169$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.232,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.984546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed No74c4,759$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04013832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes26c3,976$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes26c3,675$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes1c3,623$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.044139%16 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe13d…3abbbacked Yes8c3,543$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c3,536$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.9774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes26c3,509$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.4748150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No70c3,507$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.143053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No73c3,372$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e6…6168backed Yes21c3,282$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked Yes17c3,032$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,011$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.8668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c2,766$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76df…b9c5backed No74c2,656$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.485100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No73c2,400$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.979055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c2,323$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.6977342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes3c2,246$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.176225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes28c2,196$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.6710636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes27c2,125$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No75c2,108$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.623080%24 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No76c2,079$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.15364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No74c2,067$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.487847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Yes23c2,003$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes1c2,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1434628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.996262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes27c1,828$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes27c1,771$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No73c1,770$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.8316050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked No73c1,754$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes26c1,719$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.929660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes17c1,642$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.113321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c1,599$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.8268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No74c1,525$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.377648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No74c1,511$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.918345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaf…09afbacked No74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.03366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c1,432$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5929024.8%72 W · 218 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes1c1,424$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.244930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c1,366$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.156051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes1c1,364$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes43c1,314$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.0410053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes25c1,307$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0313727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No71c1,273$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.231752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes31c1,268$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.315139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes28c1,260$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c1,240$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6718123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes1c1,200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.232822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes26c1,177$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8111839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Yes26c1,177$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8111736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b1…3cd5backed Yes2c1,098$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes27c1,062$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.869131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c1,058$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.161,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes28c1,025$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.047045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed No71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0254…efdbbacked Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes30c999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.76550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked No74c997.7$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.417048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No74c984.4$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.946051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No73c981.83$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0920059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No76c977.1$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.257275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes27c974.25$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.293046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.