TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0254…efdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 27.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 10?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$16.66
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-9.7wins-0.44per pick62cpaid-68.9%equal weight27-0.21 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$45.8
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.49
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$8.98
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$66.19
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.79
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.39
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.79
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.8
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+374.9%+$576.76
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+226%+$86.42
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.41
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$147.17
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+819%+$615.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.67
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.48
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.47
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.82
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$126.99
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.45
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by less than 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$157.87
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.3%+$195.86
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.6%+$51.1
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.2
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-79.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+121.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$953.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$49.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.15
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$171.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Otto Lopez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$28.6
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$25.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+71%+$14.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$3.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 24 above $152?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Santosh Gujrathi Vidit vs Sam Shankland (Advances)backed Vidit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.