TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$352,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Passion UA14c67,847$9,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,498.6222049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Passion UA13c20,000$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Passion UA13c18,789$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.5525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Passion UA12c17,661$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.2817062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed Passion UA17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.992759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Passion UA14c11,110$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.397256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Passion UA14c11,073$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.997425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA12c7,615$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.891,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Passion UA14c6,920$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.84032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Passion UA14c6,685$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.461,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked Passion UA4c4,283$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.995750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Passion UA14c3,387$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.235236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Passion UA15c2,600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0412426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Passion UA5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Passion UA15c1,800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9810252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked Passion UA9c1,766$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.995330.2%16 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Passion UA15c1,706$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.898933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Passion UA12c1,632$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Passion UA3c1,142$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.334946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Passion UA15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Passion UA9c989.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.461,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Passion UA11c889.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6416546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c05…7142backed Passion UA4c879.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0160%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Passion UA14c807.09$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.992853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Passion UA16c656.25$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058419%16 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Passion UA11c646$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0616732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Passion UA15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.98232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Passion UA14c599.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Passion UA15c584.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.643447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Passion UA5c553$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6524339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0254…efdbbacked Passion UA6c504.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.792025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4907…e458backed Passion UA15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Passion UA15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Passion UA16c499.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Passion UA14c426.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.665,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Passion UA6c417.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.151,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Passion UA7c406.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.452,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Passion UA15c404.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7414843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Passion UA7c386.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4941054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e7b…c30dbacked Passion UA12c381.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Passion UA14c381.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.368158%47 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Passion UA7c371.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0747146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed Passion UA14c369.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.689540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Passion UA8c344.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.783,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Passion UA9c293.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6848319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Passion UA14c284.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.831,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Passion UA15c258.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.765442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Passion UA15c237.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.596735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aeb…01a8backed Passion UA18c226.87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.973129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd417…327abacked Passion UA18c218.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f8…6b50backed Passion UA17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Passion UA9c199.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Passion UA15c197.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6613545.2%61 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2ccdbacked Passion UA13c192.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Passion UA15c189.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Passion UA15c183.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Passion UA9c171.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6310950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Passion UA15c158.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7336446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Passion UA16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Passion UA17c149.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.570038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Passion UA14c148.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8539237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Passion UA10c141.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA10c136.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.526,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed Passion UA14c135.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.976959.4%41 W · 28 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c64…2146backed Passion UA10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Passion UA11c118.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.025,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Passion UA15c113.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.085160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b4…ebb0backed Passion UA15c111.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86259.7%37 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1634…b32fbacked Passion UA17c111.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Passion UA14c100.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.029537.9%36 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Passion UA17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Passion UA16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…420cbacked Passion UA19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910153.5%54 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Passion UA15c97.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610352.4%54 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Passion UA15c95.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6740247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Passion UA15c94.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2420732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Passion UA13c91.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d1…9599backed Passion UA15c78.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62d3…238fbacked Passion UA14c73.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2460%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked FURIA80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103171%22 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.