CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ca68dbc4dd0cea79cbc7c907ab21077a19e92fbc6585f3912c79aa2cbfc061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Passion UA | 10c | 149,645$14,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,958.43 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Passion UA | 11c | 10,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Passion UA | 7c | 7,662$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.68 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Passion UA | 17c | 6,448$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.16 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Passion UA | 10c | 2,397$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Passion UA | 3c | 2,018$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Passion UA | 3c | 2,018$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Passion UA | 18c | 1,214$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Passion UA | 17c | 1,087$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Passion UA | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Passion UA | 17c | 737.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Passion UA | 6c | 720.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Passion UA | 18c | 661.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA | 80c | 622$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 15c | 610.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Passion UA | 17c | 524.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Passion UA | 18c | 476.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed Passion UA | 19c | 464.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Passion UA | 16c | 436.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Passion UA | 4c | 363.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA | 7c | 341.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Passion UA | 7c | 298.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Passion UA | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Passion UA | 20c | 261.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked Passion UA | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Passion UA | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Passion UA | 9c | 179.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Passion UA | 15c | 140.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Passion UA | 15c | 133.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…442cbacked Passion UA | 8c | 129.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Passion UA | 17c | 112.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Passion UA | 17c | 105.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Passion UA | 20c | 104.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FURIA | 80c | 90.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Passion UA | 17c | 85.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked Passion UA | 17c | 84.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Passion UA | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed FURIA | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.