CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e87b852937e0bee6a893a5896f9d6daba83ad186a2962ede9210adcf16dfdd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe40…94abbacked Passion UA | 2c | 9,565$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Passion UA | 20c | 5,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Passion UA | 4c | 4,286$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA | 78c | 3,546$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.9 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed FURIA | 79c | 1,906$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 17c | 1,680$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed Passion UA | 2c | 1,412$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA | 76c | 1,012$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Passion UA | 15c | 954.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Passion UA | 4c | 954.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Passion UA | 16c | 945.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Passion UA | 21c | 922.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked FURIA | 77c | 900$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed Passion UA | 24c | 796.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA | 16c | 695.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Passion UA | 22c | 649.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Passion UA | 23c | 599.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Passion UA | 19c | 525.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Passion UA | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Passion UA | 4c | 482.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Passion UA | 16c | 474.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…0854backed FURIA | 76c | 455.05$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Passion UA | 8c | 427.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Passion UA | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Passion UA | 20c | 395.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Passion UA | 7c | 361.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FURIA | 77c | 303.7$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Passion UA | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Passion UA | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Passion UA | 14c | 244.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Passion UA | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Passion UA | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked FURIA | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Passion UA | 12c | 193.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Passion UA | 6c | 188.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA | 74c | 187.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Passion UA | 26c | 183.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Passion UA | 13c | 168.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Passion UA | 9c | 164.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Passion UA | 8c | 153.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked FURIA | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Passion UA | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Passion UA | 12c | 100.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Passion UA | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Passion UA | 21c | 91.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Passion UA | 25c | 72.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Passion UA | 21c | 69.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed FURIA | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed FURIA | 74c | 52.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed FURIA | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed FURIA | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed FURIA | 78c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed FURIA | 78c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.