TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b9b…44c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT9540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.38
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.59
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.06
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$875.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+167.4%+$1,186.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$651
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$110.34
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$132.14
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$148.07
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Dbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Dbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$138.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,669.35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$481
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$668
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Julian Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+277%+$207.76
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Bruna Brasil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Danny Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nathaniel Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$192.86
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Antonio Trocoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
UFC Fight Night: Shanelle Dyer vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Ravena Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-5.8wins-0.42per pick63cpaid-72.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.78
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65.39
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$135
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$188
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.3%+$73.18
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$58.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$573.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$112
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.