UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b6b9009aba76a7d0ec887302c77d97c9cd262d3f73316b4276444d8225df01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lerryan Douglasof Julian Erosa, Lerryan Douglas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Julian Erosa | 26c | 68,358$17,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,717.07 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 52,197$38,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,635.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Julian Erosa | 29c | 25,000$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.99 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 21,993$16,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,718.17 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lerryan Douglas | 71c | 17,385$12,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.08 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 16,161$11,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.01 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Julian Erosa | 28c | 14,997$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.19 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 10,720$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 9,727$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.64 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 7,359$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Lerryan Douglas | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Lerryan Douglas | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lerryan Douglas | 75c | 5,391$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.37 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 5,385$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Lerryan Douglas | 71c | 4,460$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 3,750$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 3,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 3,480$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.09 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Julian Erosa | 25c | 3,130$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.52 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 2,884$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 2,851$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.12 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 2,850$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…c2c8backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 2,836$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 2,789$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 2,700$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Lerryan Douglas | 71c | 2,483$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.01 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Julian Erosa | 18c | 2,364$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.19 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lerryan Douglas | 71c | 2,344$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.79 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf398…a9b1backed Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 2,025$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Julian Erosa | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…ed99backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 1,920$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Julian Erosa | 25c | 1,896$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.01 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Lerryan Douglas | 76c | 1,883$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.96 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Julian Erosa | 26c | 1,750$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 1,727$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.72 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Julian Erosa | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 1,455$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.27 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Julian Erosa | 25c | 1,377$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked Julian Erosa | 29c | 1,266$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 1,130$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…68bfbacked Julian Erosa | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 1,050$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…865cbacked Julian Erosa | 26c | 1,042$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Julian Erosa | 9c | 1,034$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Julian Erosa | 9c | 1,001$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Lerryan Douglas | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Julian Erosa | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +327.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Julian Erosa | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Lerryan Douglas | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 999.97$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 999.97$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 999$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Lerryan Douglas | 71c | 991.3$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…b2a1backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 981.48$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 945.95$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 924.45$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.36 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Julian Erosa | 26c | 858.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.31 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 796.97$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Julian Erosa | 21c | 785.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 754.6$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 750$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Julian Erosa | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lerryan Douglas | 75c | 738.69$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Julian Erosa | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Julian Erosa | 25c | 692.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Julian Erosa | 29c | 687.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Julian Erosa | 29c | 674.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 672.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 640.26$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…b930backed Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 640.07$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Lerryan Douglas | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Julian Erosa | 4c | 599.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 537$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 524.89$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 506$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Julian Erosa | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Lerryan Douglas | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Julian Erosa | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Lerryan Douglas | 73c | 480.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Julian Erosa | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 416$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Julian Erosa | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 397.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Julian Erosa | 25c | 394.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…237ebacked Julian Erosa | 30c | 383.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Julian Erosa | 26c | 382.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a36…dedabacked Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lerryan Douglas | 72c | 375$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Lerryan Douglas | 74c | 363.92$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Julian Erosa | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Lerryan Douglas win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.