UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3faee081a5cc88d4bf78982a3832fbfdb57003e6def77ef27b3283efc11742fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 60,718$26,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,062.36 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…211bbacked Under | 57c | 35,088$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,087.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 57c | 28,788$16,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,339.45 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 43c | 15,963$6,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,864.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 6,619$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.05 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Under | 56c | 4,667$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 56c | 4,494$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.63 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 59c | 2,940$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 45c | 2,313$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 56c | 1,757$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 44c | 1,648$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.07 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Over | 45c | 1,330$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 57c | 1,260$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.29 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 56c | 1,228$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.44 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 1,090$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.91 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Under | 57c | 880$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 43c | 663.02$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 43c | 623.59$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 56c | 515.43$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 45c | 444$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Over | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 59c | 363.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…26d6backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…c934backed Over | 44c | 335.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Under | 59c | 293.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 58c | 225$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Under | 59c | 215.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…41cdbacked Over | 46c | 211.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 57c | 207.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 56c | 186.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…8915backed Over | 45c | 185.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Under | 56c | 179.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…c3f0backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…4d7fbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 44c | 168$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e9b3backed Under | 56c | 167.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…64f5backed Under | 56c | 167.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 56c | 132$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 59c | 117.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…9febbacked Over | 46c | 109.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 54c | 91.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Under | 56c | 89.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…b6c7backed Over | 45c | 72.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…d0debacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 44c | 44.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Under | 56c | 42.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 55c | 37.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…6980backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…11e1backed Under | 59c | 34.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…0f6abacked Under | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…95f9backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…e854backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…ed79backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Over | 45c | 27.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f2…2c56backed Over | 44c | 27.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Over | 44c | 27.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…0cccbacked Under | 59c | 26.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…43b7backed Over | 45c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 56c | 25.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd706…7b00backed Under | 56c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed Under | 59c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…7bd2backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 57c | 19.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…73c6backed Under | 56c | 18.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)Lerryan Douglas won
- Will Lerryan Douglas win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.