UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52097372dcbb56d5aa37e66e90b244ece7984fe44456324bc9ff8351c5c693dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mario Pintoof Mario Pinto, Felipe Franco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,115 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Felipe Franco | 9c | 23,404$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.33 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Felipe Franco | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 17,268$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Felipe Franco | 10c | 15,858$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.8 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Felipe Franco | 19c | 15,676$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Felipe Franco | 9c | 10,770$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Felipe Franco | 1c | 8,333$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…0811backed Felipe Franco | 0c | 7,571$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Felipe Franco | 18c | 6,727$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Felipe Franco | 5c | 6,141$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Felipe Franco | 16c | 6,095$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Felipe Franco | 10c | 6,025$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.5 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Felipe Franco | 10c | 4,683$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Felipe Franco | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Felipe Franco | 14c | 2,830$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Felipe Franco | 11c | 2,687$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Felipe Franco | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 2,388$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Felipe Franco | 7c | 1,792$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…128ebacked Felipe Franco | 12c | 1,668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Felipe Franco | 10c | 1,649$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Felipe Franco | 10c | 1,530$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 1,187$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Felipe Franco | 10c | 1,147$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Felipe Franco | 10c | 1,130$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Felipe Franco | 14c | 1,004$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Felipe Franco | 16c | 1,003$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Felipe Franco | 16c | 976$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Felipe Franco | 17c | 900.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Felipe Franco | 12c | 880$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…5cf7backed Felipe Franco | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Felipe Franco | 10c | 755.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Felipe Franco | 11c | 719.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Felipe Franco | 17c | 704$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Felipe Franco | 11c | 696.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Mario Pinto | 77c | 662$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Felipe Franco | 17c | 600$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Felipe Franco | 17c | 514.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0507…165fbacked Felipe Franco | 15c | 506.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…6533backed Felipe Franco | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Felipe Franco | 12c | 499.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Felipe Franco | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9639…4a68backed Felipe Franco | 18c | 422.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Felipe Franco | 20c | 385.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Felipe Franco | 13c | 385.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Felipe Franco | 9c | 317.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Felipe Franco | 15c | 316.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Felipe Franco | 11c | 306.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Felipe Franco | 14c | 290.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Felipe Franco | 14c | 270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Felipe Franco | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Felipe Franco | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed Felipe Franco | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Felipe Franco | 8c | 219$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a36…dedabacked Felipe Franco | 10c | 215.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Felipe Franco | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…6e0fbacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Felipe Franco | 14c | 176.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Felipe Franco | 13c | 170.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked Felipe Franco | 17c | 170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…b420backed Felipe Franco | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…22c4backed Felipe Franco | 13c | 164.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Felipe Franco | 10c | 161.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…02a0backed Felipe Franco | 14c | 147.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Felipe Franco | 14c | 145.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Felipe Franco | 14c | 144.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Felipe Franco | 8c | 142.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Felipe Franco | 15c | 141.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 132 | 21.2%28 W · 104 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Felipe Franco | 13c | 140.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Felipe Franco | 16c | 129.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Felipe Franco | 13c | 118.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Felipe Franco | 15c | 114.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 111.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9144…e52abacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 107.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Felipe Franco | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…428fbacked Felipe Franco | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…bc9bbacked Felipe Franco | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Mario Pinto | 78c | 66.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Felipe Franco | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.