TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb788…2b73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.79
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,736
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$214
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,206.74
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$904.32
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+150.7%+$3,005.24
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,464.39
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$275.79
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,680.54
Will Brighton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+37%+$97.27
Will Everton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,605Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+35.4%+$568.18
Will Man City win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$177.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+450.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+4,304.9%+$21,499.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Australian Open Men's: Hugo Gaston vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$412.74
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$96.64
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.87
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,500
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Regina Tarin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+130.2%+$9,423.54
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Josiah Harrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,641
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Osbourne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$340.43
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Nakamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$9,729.39
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+1,370.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$832.48
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$24,816
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$8,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,064
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Hungarybacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.06
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$126
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$70.4
Will Ajax Amsterdam beat Union St.-Gilloise?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$5,378.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$278
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+900%+$1,902.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+212.5%+$25.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.