Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0fffd0a8272d3ca9b6eaa8c6d4360f1d587559e4622ef69fa80fccfa43936a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 6,690$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.83 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 4,975$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.16 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 2c | 2,295$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 3c | 1,878$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 3c | 1,730$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 1,170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 8c | 780.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 2c | 705.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 583.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 8c | 440.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 5c | 405.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 9c | 319.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 9c | 289.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 8c | 287.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…bfa6backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 143.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 7c | 136.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-22?this page
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.