Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa94673b60b58d25c2d6a1235e4384a6a1cf95c5848935b19cffc116885fcc44d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 26c | 9,278$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 7,688$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 26c | 6,033$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 25c | 4,753$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.38 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 72c | 4,610$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 31c | 4,415$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 74c | 4,384$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.65 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 3,328$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 3,084$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.88 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 27c | 2,602$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 1,561$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.33 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 23c | 1,518$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.72 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 26c | 1,340$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 7c | 1,338$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 22c | 1,076$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed No | 26c | 999.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Yes | 73c | 850$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 74c | 811.07$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.93 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 75c | 759$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 74c | 616.22$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 74c | 578.57$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 74c | 547.3$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 27c | 519.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 26c | 496.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 72c | 488.5$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 74c | 400.56$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 70c | 376.93$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Yes | 73c | 363.47$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 16c | 336.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 26c | 313.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 297.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 19c | 297.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…ac56backed Yes | 71c | 288.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 69c | 270.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Yes | 79c | 253.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 75c | 251.85$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…38cdbacked Yes | 72c | 217.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…bf7fbacked Yes | 69c | 210.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 70c | 191.43$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 22c | 177.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 75c | 172$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Yes | 71c | 171.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…4490backed Yes | 75c | 150.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 74c | 150.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 145.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…16dfbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed No | 10c | 142.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…528fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 26c | 134.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 73c | 125.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 72c | 122$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…ee47backed Yes | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 16c | 118.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…d793backed Yes | 70c | 117.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 11c | 111.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…41a8backed Yes | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 23c | 102.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…8289backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…20debacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 68c | 95.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 77c | 91.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 76c | 77.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 22c | 77.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…f476backed Yes | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Yes | 80c | 72.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…5acebacked Yes | 75c | 68.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?this page
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-22?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.