Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f2902e93b56141a0e90a3f9bf447e7c1b3577b910006a61f58e980c421e86c

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $956,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	12c	187,635$21,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,787.32	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	11c	150,699$17,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,274.21	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	11c	44,383$4,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,922.14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d76…c388backed Yes	11c	18,000$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed Yes	12c	15,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes	12c	14,982$1,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,797.84	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	11c	14,508$1,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,630.57	1,244	49.4%615 W · 629 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb788…2b73backed Yes	12c	14,467$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,736	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	9c	12,389$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.74	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	11c	8,988$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes	13c	8,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.99	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes	11c	7,913$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.98	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes	13c	7,615$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.14per pick	35cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	12c	7,284$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.13	157	48.4%76 W · 81 L	+13.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes	1c	6,015$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.44	130	5.4%7 W · 123 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes	13c	5,927$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.37	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes	13c	5,754$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes	13c	5,263$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.19	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-5.0wins	-0.24per pick	62cpaid	-21%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes	5c	5,138$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.69	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes	12c	5,000$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b5a…b691backed Yes	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes	12c	4,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes	12c	3,667$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.04	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	12c	3,239$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.55	112	32.1%36 W · 76 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	13c	3,101$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.18	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77f…5404backed Yes	7c	3,067$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	255	44.7%114 W · 141 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes	13c	2,799$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.87	139	39.6%55 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes	12c	2,197$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.79	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d60…9cf6backed Yes	11c	1,900$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	5c	1,700$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.66	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes	13c	1,567$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	13cpaid	+81.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Yes	13c	1,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+138.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	11c	1,383$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.4	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes	7c	1,251$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.31	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes	12c	1,170$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0887…408fbacked Yes	12c	1,137$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	6c	1,053$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes	10c	1,021$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.39	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	14cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	1,000$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.87	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	235	31.1%73 W · 162 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes	13c	999.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes	4c	930.3$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.21	117	27.4%32 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes	12c	925.94$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	5c	891.8$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes	11c	882.37$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.06	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+9.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	4c	833.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	290	24.8%72 W · 218 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes	5c	829.1$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	-14.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes	11c	815.46$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.45	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff9…795abacked Yes	13c	660.89$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.43	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	4c	654.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Yes	13c	563.71$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.28	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x752f…cfd5backed Yes	4c	549.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…e920backed Yes	13c	542.38$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.51	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Yes	12c	532.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.92	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes	12c	521.04$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.52	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92bc…6125backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.53per pick	22cpaid	+239.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,240	42.2%523 W · 717 L	-29.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Yes	4c	472.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes	11c	454.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	4c	441.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Yes	13c	432.66$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes	7c	425$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Yes	12c	418.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.27	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes	14c	386.4$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	59	27.1%16 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe540…2108backed Yes	13c	376.92$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes	12c	362.42$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	122	36.1%44 W · 78 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes	4c	353.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	+7.6wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+160.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes	6c	344.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes	4c	343$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes	12c	307.69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	279	48%134 W · 145 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes	12c	301.73$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	12c	300.01$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	300	50.3%151 W · 149 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes	13c	287.69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	13c	276.92$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	181	24.9%45 W · 136 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes	11c	269.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	6c	265.46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42e0…fbb1backed Yes	13c	257.81$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes	13c	256.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.16per pick	55cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes	12c	254.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes	13c	254$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.02	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…0166backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…9fe6backed Yes	13c	248.23$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event