Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55aaedf58a379e677f1a72150605119fcbed1c4cb90d163d1bff2445053f4a18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,790,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,790,362 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,918 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0222…8ff7backed No | 33c | 3,539,032$1,169,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369,234.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Yes | 66c | 964,686$636,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636,692.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 71c | 701,500$498,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498,064.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 535,711$363,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363,895.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 67c | 329,975$221,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221,927.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 319,999$99,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,799 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 29c | 200,186$58,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,627.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 69c | 198,342$137,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,153.18 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 30c | 187,998$56,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,494.26 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 66c | 175,000$115,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,500 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 68c | 156,224$107,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,002.36 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 31c | 149,571$45,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,768.7 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 68c | 134,349$91,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,333.89 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 125,920$87,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,024 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 69c | 117,681$81,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,200 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 68c | 114,249$77,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,519.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 33c | 110,651$36,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,606.3 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Yes | 70c | 109,965$76,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,975.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 69c | 100,291$69,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,207.96 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Yes | 0c | 99,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 31c | 91,961$28,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,391.44 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 33c | 89,801$29,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,601.86 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 68c | 87,515$59,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,433.37 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 31c | 82,360$25,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,828.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 32c | 82,016$26,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,431.2 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 67c | 80,000$53,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,600 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 31c | 71,932$22,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,633.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 31c | 66,035$20,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,340.35 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 30c | 60,254$17,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,450.63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 68c | 60,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 31c | 60,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,399.94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 69c | 54,058$37,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,300.01 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 32c | 49,041$15,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,479.03 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 48,019$30,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,907.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 67c | 45,000$29,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,950 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 68c | 43,571$29,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,599.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 37c | 40,520$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 29c | 40,040$11,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,428.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,200 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 69c | 39,463$27,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,229.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Yes | 69c | 37,800$26,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,270.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 31c | 37,243$11,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,737.47 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 32c | 37,141$11,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,253.07 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 70c | 35,714$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…1dcebacked Yes | 69c | 34,401$23,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,736.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 29c | 33,500$9,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,785 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed No | 31c | 30,199$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,723.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 66c | 30,000$19,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,727.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 69c | 28,974$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,991.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 31c | 28,855$8,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,909.91 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…ed13backed Yes | 66c | 27,190$17,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,844.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…c1ddbacked Yes | 70c | 27,121$18,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,984.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 67c | 26,797$17,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,954.75 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 69c | 25,586$17,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,649.34 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 59c | 24,806$14,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,544.72 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 66c | 24,000$15,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,760 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 33c | 23,188$7,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,535.69 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 32c | 23,000$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,639.91 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 32c | 22,200$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,096 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 31c | 22,000$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,179.95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 31c | 21,900$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,111 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 31c | 21,600$6,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,904 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 21,577$7,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,232.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 70c | 21,429$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 32c | 21,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,369.95 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 31c | 20,863$6,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,395.47 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 68c | 20,703$14,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,171.13 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 32c | 20,587$6,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 70c | 20,174$14,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,121.59 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 30c | 18,555$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,981.17 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 32c | 18,099$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,326.83 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 68c | 18,000$12,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,317.02 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 67c | 17,460$11,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,698.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 17,141$8,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,418.52 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 32c | 16,710$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,316.07 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…c91ebacked Yes | 70c | 16,351$11,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,445.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 31c | 16,141$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,093.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 67c | 16,000$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,720 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 68c | 15,770$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,738.19 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 31c | 15,016$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,401.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 32c | 14,420$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,873.78 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 32c | 14,125$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,605 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 30c | 14,000$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,841.18 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked No | 31c | 13,000$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,969.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…da86backed Yes | 55c | 12,811$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked No | 32c | 12,548$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,532.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…29dcbacked Yes | 68c | 11,516$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 68c | 11,350$7,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,717.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 31c | 11,000$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,609.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked No | 32c | 10,940$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 30c | 10,377$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,263.74 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 68c | 10,294$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 10,151$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,922.86 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 31c | 10,065$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,943.88 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 48c | 10,050$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.