Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x178ae8f7dfb97c400159a7e9ed20978875d693b0c28e802060de49c8af9efd2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 91,123$18,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,909.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 62,041$12,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,553.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 80c | 20,318$16,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,254.4 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 20c | 14,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 10,041$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.43 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 54c | 6,718$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 80c | 6,090$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.44 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 24c | 4,831$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.23 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 20c | 4,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 3,904$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 3,239$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.97 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 80c | 2,650$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.03 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fb65backed Yes | 53c | 2,342$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.77 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…6964backed Yes | 20c | 2,225$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,074$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.93 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 49c | 2,060$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 25c | 2,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 65c | 1,903$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.61 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed Yes | 19c | 1,837$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 72c | 1,709$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 1,634$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.49 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 80c | 1,480$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.71 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.43 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 1,442$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.94 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 19c | 1,160$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,015$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.01 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 20c | 955.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.34 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 809$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.89 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed Yes | 13c | 777.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.29 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 20c | 745.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.95 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 695$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 657.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 67c | 653.92$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 29c | 601.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 55c | 592.63$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…c1e5backed Yes | 19c | 587.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 574.98$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.06 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…65a4backed Yes | 19c | 527.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…3cd4backed Yes | 19c | 514.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Yes | 68c | 511.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 53c | 510$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 76c | 510$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Yes | 70c | 500$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…2539backed Yes | 20c | 493.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed Yes | 68c | 470$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…e19cbacked Yes | 19c | 465.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 65c | 462.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…2007backed Yes | 19c | 456.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…4dd8backed Yes | 19c | 427.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…2108backed Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 53c | 318.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes | 59c | 316.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 19c | 316.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 297.76$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes | 59c | 295.59$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 19c | 292.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked Yes | 19c | 267.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 78c | 256$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Yes | 66c | 252.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes | 19c | 230$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 20c | 220.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed Yes | 15c | 218.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 21c | 209.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 53c | 197$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked Yes | 18c | 193.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef8…7445backed Yes | 19c | 185.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 26c | 179.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…c203backed No | 43c | 162.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed No | 80c | 151.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 16c | 149.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Yes | 21c | 148.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2b…ec21backed Yes | 19c | 147.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…ee2cbacked Yes | 77c | 146.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 27c | 146.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 31c | 146.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.