Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fa6e075e04a982f72899609eb872e3d549cc27b2c97358dafe65f3751ea258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 12cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 11,260$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 9c | 10,722$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.96 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 2c | 9,400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 9c | 5,450$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.48 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 9c | 3,665$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 9c | 3,442$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 2,886$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 2c | 2,257$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 2c | 2,171$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 9c | 1,330$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 842.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Yes | 9c | 764.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 9c | 440$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 9c | 317.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Yes | 9c | 282.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Yes | 9c | 251.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 10c | 168.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 9c | 162$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 9c | 125.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes | 10c | 103$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…51e4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.