TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeb7e…0ba8backed No74c150,000$111,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,000475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe295…82bbbacked Yes26c150,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f1…e733backed No73c24,172$17,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,526.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90a8…b139backed Yes27c14,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…4981backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No80c2,490$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5914732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c2,044$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.7390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed8…4788backed No73c1,983$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2276…9717backed Yes27c1,980$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes17c1,488$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd835…0d2dbacked Yes27c1,250$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c1,236$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes11c1,183$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1328355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes28c1,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.112623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No73c999.98$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No72c942.5$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes17c894.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.826737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes27c879.88$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…50aabacked Yes27c874.37$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No73c860.25$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2728070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Yes29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Yes27c750.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes14c707.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00e…435fbacked No75c556.58$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe2…0205backed Yes27c526.33$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No72c499.96$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9916660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes27c492.44$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.969111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Yes27c480.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes25c480$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.340135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No73c410.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9724566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes21c374.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.513935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53e…91b0backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb788…2b73backed No73c360.27$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.271435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc1…e943backed Yes26c350$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No73c276$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7717447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes10c271.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x387d…297ebacked Yes27c256.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff2…6714backed Yes27c245.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1c…1327backed No74c227$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No73c206$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes28c204.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.135747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5222050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…49aabacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes26c199.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.992817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe425…6155backed Yes28c190$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7971…21e6backed Yes27c186.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c186$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe66…0b48backed No75c172.07$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…352cbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes26c130.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9611527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f84…be09backed Yes27c120.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1227…0e80backed Yes26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e9b3backed No75c109.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…a2a0backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fb…b3c6backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7425…4028backed Yes25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+91.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeebe…d4fbbacked No74c93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.18366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65cc…b944backed No75c92.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+125.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe36a…2590backed No75c85.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf5…2461backed Yes12c84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x108f…73e3backed Yes27c83.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes34c79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8614062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x088f…12d1backed No75c77.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No73c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6956…c37fbacked No75c70.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.723070%21 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb664…9853backed No75c69.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa08f…44d5backed No75c69.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3778…8c7fbacked No74c63.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29dd…6db4backed Yes27c63.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…c70dbacked No73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01a…875bbacked Yes28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa954…bfdabacked Yes28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x810f…5d26backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61de…ebaebacked No74c55.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No75c54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7d…701dbacked No74c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x728c…4e58backed Yes27c51.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1187backed No74c51.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4592…8d70backed No74c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a6…8080backed No74c47.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes26c47.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…e44abacked Yes28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…8613backed Yes26c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…24e4backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…59c2backed No74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3581…f9aebacked No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c4…85d7backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407e…d3eabacked No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec9…8ef2backed No73c27.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.