TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45d7…bc74backed Yes33c139,997$46,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,797.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…b5dcbacked No67c113,788$76,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,238.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee15…b6dbbacked No67c109,840$73,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,592.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23f1…e733backed Yes33c83,800$27,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,146.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes38c15,285$5,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,527.3779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes80c6,806$5,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes34c5,603$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.719235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes56c5,352$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.8314732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed No68c4,492$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.89862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No30c3,900$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.4579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No65c3,106$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.862259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed No68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x609d…4102backed Yes32c2,750$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8701100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes79c2,616$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.3911761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4d…a750backed No68c2,359$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a377backed No69c1,954$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed No68c1,770$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.71560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes75c1,679$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8628070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No69c1,672$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.164252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156c…9dd0backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes74c1,353$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4914156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.963100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.9940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No27c1,179$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No1c1,168$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.683910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked No68c1,100$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.71752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No70c1,059$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.692777.8%21 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…b2dabacked Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed No67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked No61c944.91$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes31c893.93$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.813839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes78c884.28$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.542161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No19c875.59$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes30c852.56$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.89754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed No67c720$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.41752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed No22c683.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.336737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No50c610$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.93666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes67c593.03$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No68c535.57$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1915636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3405750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes34c494.12$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.1224630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes31c484.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Yes77c484.16$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.111861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No3c468.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+68.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c456$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No66c455$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a74…57dcbacked Yes35c441.05$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.06633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes34c414.71$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x284f…31efbacked Yes73c400$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Yes31c399.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Yes33c369.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df6…bb77backed No67c320$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+345.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…00a0backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Yes34c294.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.38633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes34c290.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.695641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No68c280$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.421153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes80c273.98$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.84949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes33c271$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.574136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef24…2c78backed No68c265.22$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No66c240.42$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No46c230$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.621463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…fb06backed Yes33c214.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes35c210.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.532744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Yes34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1332040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…4981backed Yes34c171.28$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes34c157.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.164139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No68c154.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3636845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed No68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No68c140.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956250%31 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No66c138.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.214628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e88…7240backed Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes33c119.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.433534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.615726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed No48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes33c108.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0626247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes34c102.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.15829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x061a…513abacked No68c101.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c91…3910backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7425…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+91.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes65c95.45$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes51c93.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.382330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed No70c91.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.912445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9125637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb315…31b3backed No69c88.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.