TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$328,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3503…b8babacked No58c56,506$32,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,699.032259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No59c49,157$29,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,086.985747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024d…b912backed Yes42c47,560$19,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,975683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes41c25,497$10,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,453.912433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No58c19,007$10,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,045.765349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes42c15,882$6,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,593.413658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes38c13,493$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.2412037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c12,049$6,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,089.9179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes36c11,802$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes42c11,547$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2002733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No59c9,241$5,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.683333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No68c9,151$6,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.2714732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No54c7,238$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.593666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe803…f4efbacked Yes47c6,685$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes41c5,976$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.974637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes42c5,719$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.952744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes5c5,357$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes41c5,085$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.83871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes41c4,766$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.124339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No58c4,540$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.875650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c4,362$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.7879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No58c4,220$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.3690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c1…c518backed No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c23…fedcbacked Yes40c3,800$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes42c3,604$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.0868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes39c3,434$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.5318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes45c3,397$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.0511638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes6c3,292$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes42c3,127$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.4732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c2,744$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.1183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e0…b444backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967b…c925backed Yes42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes45c2,089$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.256137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d99…d5c2backed Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe474…2c56backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4f…4afebacked Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No58c1,992$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.7340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes43c1,800$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c3…16adbacked No59c1,800$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No58c1,757$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.1356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No68c1,722$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.6138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f80…cf55backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes42c1,617$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.179754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed8…4788backed Yes41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2276…9717backed No59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9816660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5d…43fbbacked Yes40c1,400$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c1,265$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes44c1,087$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.234042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…4fd3backed No58c999.97$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes40c995.9$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c66…ed30backed Yes40c995.25$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36a…6814backed Yes41c906.68$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No58c892.39$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.814659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes41c874.85$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.69130%0 W · 13 L-6.0wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes42c813.79$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.796737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No60c716.83$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7315347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30115636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1be9…a23abacked Yes43c627.12$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No58c613.98$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes43c516.28$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22214156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No59c508$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No57c490.2$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1740135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3869…35c2backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Yes42c480.95$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c480.54$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0229044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No59c470.83$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.372937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x522f…a666backed Yes41c467.8$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…e968backed Yes43c466.84$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Yes43c465.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.22560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes31c462.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No59c449.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.57335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes44c431.74$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.961250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf745…d12cbacked Yes41c409.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d9…4ad1backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16025339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes41c399.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca65…3dbbbacked Yes41c394.33$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.68825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a1…13bebacked Yes42c377.66$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cc…774fbacked Yes41c373.17$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1479858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5115…b50abacked Yes13c344.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes32c332.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10826054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes11c316.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No58c309.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes44c276.5$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.663545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x612a…3c9cbacked Yes42c271.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.