TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb92f…566b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT6956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$62.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.44
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$149.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+68.9%+$99.93
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.8%+$93.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$99.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+111.6%+$84.24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.4%+$68.92
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$90.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.3%+$54.95
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+64.8%+$59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+52.5%+$58.5
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT5048%24 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$107.17
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$73.5
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$107.85
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$250.12
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$217
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$252
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$33.6
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$98
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72.45
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29.87
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$34.25
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+57.9%+$135.49
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+90.4%+$575.77
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$26
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,231.96
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$828.1
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$77.92
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+90.6%+$90.65
Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+566.7%+$102
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+488.2%+$87.88
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Monaco vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$278.57
Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$408.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+185.7%+$260
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$292.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.4%+$50.77
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$81.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.5
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$34.3
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$29.39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$76.65
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$69.3
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.28
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.81
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37.12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$202
Will Brighton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$129.93
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$361.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$255.08
Will Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.8
Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$210.94
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$292.53
Will Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$393.59
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+270.4%+$255.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+59.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between FC Porto and Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+219.3%+$219.3
Will FC Porto beat Roma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$212
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+81.8%+$162.86
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$147.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.