Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4116cb37a4f87dd15c24ddd2972224700efae3d908f11ecc67be56c66f9335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked No | 72c | 10,502$7,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.12 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 27c | 4,348$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.69 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 47c | 3,801$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.48 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 53c | 2,357$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 28c | 1,621$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.56 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 1,614$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…77f2backed Yes | 29c | 1,525$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,344$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.02 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 68c | 1,123$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 31c | 1,004$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.21 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 955.89$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.08 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…e068backed No | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 30c | 876.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.07 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a13…162abacked No | 70c | 800$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…7023backed Yes | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…e816backed No | 72c | 761.39$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes | 33c | 670.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 76c | 644.76$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 26c | 574.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 30c | 546.92$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 30c | 530.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 23c | 519$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…a7c7backed No | 78c | 504.6$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…5796backed Yes | 35c | 500$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 496.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 67c | 485.3$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 32c | 479.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 28c | 479.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 65c | 383$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 59c | 380.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 317.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 312.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 27c | 305.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked Yes | 18c | 279.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 29c | 277.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 31c | 265.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 262.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 33c | 253.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…c210backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 69c | 249$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 73c | 220.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 24c | 203.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 48c | 202.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Yes | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 186.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 64c | 177.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…e8c6backed No | 74c | 175.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 173.04$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 170$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 15c | 164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 22c | 161.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 69c | 161.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 73c | 154.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed No | 70c | 152.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 151.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed No | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 39c | 142.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 72c | 126.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 71c | 126.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 71c | 125.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 49c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…6fdbbacked Yes | 36c | 111.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 42c | 110.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 108.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 26c | 107$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 70c | 106$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 78c | 100.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 100.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 27c | 96.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 95.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…543dbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 47c | 79.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 72.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…8f59backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 64c | 69.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 53c | 66.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 66.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 79c | 65.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Portugal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.