TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x13e0…a97ebacked No72c10,502$7,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.128133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes27c4,348$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.692,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes47c3,801$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.489647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No53c2,357$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.382,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66011637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes28c1,621$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5612352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes33c1,614$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.82,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x530d…77f2backed Yes29c1,525$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.252441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes29c1,344$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0287837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No68c1,123$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.794652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes31c1,004$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.217742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes27c955.89$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0843835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656f…e068backed No69c900$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes30c876.09$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.077621.1%16 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a13…162abacked No70c800$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25b7…7023backed Yes32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf6…e816backed No72c761.39$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.393633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes33c670.18$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024440.2%98 W · 146 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No76c644.76$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7635033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes26c574.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.316428.1%18 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes30c546.92$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.244930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes30c530.89$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8417340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes23c519$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.868124.7%20 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6edb…a7c7backed No78c504.6$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.011233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…5796backed Yes35c500$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22511058.2%64 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes28c496.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.731,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No67c485.3$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.32965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes32c479.69$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes28c479.56$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8618139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No65c383$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0515740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No59c380.03$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6815747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes28c317.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5941231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No43c312.14$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes27c305.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0332044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes18c279.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.036541.5%27 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes29c277.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4718636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes31c265.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.72,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes25c262.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.067799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes33c253.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4725638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d6…c210backed Yes29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No69c249$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1916741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743d…f77ebacked No73c220.69$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7610100%10 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes24c203.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0525443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes48c202.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9935954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes24c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9320138.3%77 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No76c186.08$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5765651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked No64c177.78$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3620850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e08…e8c6backed No74c175.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.752133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No77c173.04$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6328256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No77c170$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.628554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed Yes24c170$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.86328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes15c164$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.66227.4%17 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes22c161.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9122623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No69c161.29$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No73c154.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8642737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9248…6955backed No70c152.08$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes22c151.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3945736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.617217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c30…7673backed No66c149.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes39c142.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5639752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No78c128.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5913372.9%97 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No72c126.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.934358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No71c126.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.613183.9%26 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No71c125.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6622243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No49c124$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.234554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a94…6fdbbacked Yes36c111.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes42c110.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.125244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No70c108.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.917558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes26c107$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7912936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No70c106$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4219445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4615…5ccbbacked No78c100.66$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.155172.5%37 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No74c100.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9812150.4%61 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3517736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick15cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2115654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7244…2aafbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Yes28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes34c99.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5758926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012932.6%42 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No27c96.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8633237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No76c95.75$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7510164.4%65 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No75c85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0514858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.815345.8%70 W · 83 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc842…543dbacked Yes23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.411347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No47c79.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.429455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No45c78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes20c72.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.352937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb3a…8f59backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No70c69.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9519760.4%119 W · 78 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No64c69.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1520652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No53c66.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3136139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No64c66.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8636335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No79c65.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.668041.3%33 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.