Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6d1aa280e932f204b980818bc743239ebdeebcc5b4dd93893d41e460b4938f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked No | 35c | 35,717$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 65c | 17,809$11,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.63 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 65c | 3,668$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.91 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…50babacked Yes | 66c | 2,898$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 52c | 2,093$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.01 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 65c | 1,523$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 38c | 1,441$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.27 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 63c | 1,294$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.6 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 50c | 1,235$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.05 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 24c | 1,217$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.74 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,201$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.36 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 66c | 1,200$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.11 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 56c | 1,127$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.66 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 58c | 993.72$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…1d71backed No | 37c | 913.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…88a8backed Yes | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +263.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…26debacked Yes | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…02f6backed Yes | 65c | 899.99$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 28c | 889.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.93 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 64c | 865$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.49 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…d083backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 41c | 674.5$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 633.98$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 630$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 65c | 538.98$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 531.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.87 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 65c | 509.05$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 63c | 503.24$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.82 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…dabdbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 65c | 450.71$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…3c38backed No | 26c | 409.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 361.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…eb91backed No | 36c | 360.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 65c | 349.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 57c | 346$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 22c | 322$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.58 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 56c | 296.88$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 66c | 289.24$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed No | 35c | 284.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 42c | 263.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 245.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 24c | 245$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…745cbacked No | 41c | 242.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 58c | 237.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 48c | 234.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 24c | 205.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 203.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 199.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 41c | 198.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…159dbacked Yes | 63c | 198$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 64c | 192.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 64c | 180.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 35c | 177.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 76c | 169.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 163$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c4a5backed No | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked Yes | 32c | 156.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ca…d223backed Yes | 66c | 152.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…eac1backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…1159backed Yes | 67c | 149.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 59c | 148$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…e06fbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Yes | 66c | 146.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 42c | 136.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes | 24c | 134.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 63c | 126.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…988dbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 124$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 64c | 121.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 67c | 114$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 27c | 112.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 20c | 112.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 65c | 109.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 38c | 108.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 34c | 103.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 71c | 100.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 72c | 100.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 20c | 97.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 43c | 97.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 65c | 97.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Yes | 66c | 97.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…f70abacked No | 37c | 95.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 63c | 94.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 94.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 78c | 89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 39c | 88.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 86.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…8725backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 57c | 83.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…a9efbacked No | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Portugal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.