TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc02d…dabd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$157.02
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.2
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.51
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$137.27
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.3
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.9
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$12.35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$61.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.37
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$63.28
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$106.57
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.64
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$48.38
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$6.05
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$9.27
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.24
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.92
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$7.31
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Taisei Ichikawabacked Taisei Ichikawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$64.57
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$22.31
Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chanbacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+173.5%+$58.66
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanchbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.41
Bloomfield Hills: Andres Martin vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.49
Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$19.3
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$37.8
Hamburg European Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Hamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$8.86
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$56.22
Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkovabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$15.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$6.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.