Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Sinja Kraus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8256be725768f447947c9a91420e62c52cf252855c57af8fa57509091859fc5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Darja Semenistaja, Sinja Kraus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Darja Semenistaja | 37c | 25,981$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,677.39 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sinja Kraus | 63c | 7,701$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.98 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sinja Kraus | 66c | 7,232$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.97 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Darja Semenistaja | 32c | 6,006$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.81 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Darja Semenistaja | 43c | 4,424$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.17 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Sinja Kraus | 44c | 3,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 2,346$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.62 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Darja Semenistaja | 1c | 2,198$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinja Kraus | 65c | 1,708$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.32 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Darja Semenistaja | 44c | 1,585$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sinja Kraus | 59c | 1,505$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.1 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 1,441$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.07 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 1,258$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.29 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 37c | 1,093$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 280 | 32.5%91 W · 189 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Darja Semenistaja | 13c | 955.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Darja Semenistaja | 39c | 906.12$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Sinja Kraus | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Darja Semenistaja | 12c | 828.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 809.67$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.9 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 771.5$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 731.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Sinja Kraus | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 672.24$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Sinja Kraus | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darja Semenistaja | 7c | 583.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Darja Semenistaja | 33c | 549.55$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Sinja Kraus | 65c | 528$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Darja Semenistaja | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 498.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Sinja Kraus | 64c | 494.83$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Sinja Kraus | 44c | 490.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…beedbacked Darja Semenistaja | 50c | 479.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Sinja Kraus | 74c | 467.5$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…db21backed Sinja Kraus | 70c | 453.2$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sinja Kraus | 56c | 426.24$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.54 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Sinja Kraus | 66c | 425$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 327 | 55%180 W · 147 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…3896backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 394.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Darja Semenistaja | 38c | 391.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sinja Kraus | 64c | 318.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…da61backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 304.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Darja Semenistaja | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Sinja Kraus | 67c | 296.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 175 | 54.3%95 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Darja Semenistaja | 36c | 271.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Darja Semenistaja | 19c | 259.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…ad6abacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Darja Semenistaja | 35c | 248.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Sinja Kraus | 73c | 243$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sinja Kraus | 56c | 238.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 236.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Sinja Kraus | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Sinja Kraus | 69c | 219.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 218.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Sinja Kraus | 47c | 213.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Sinja Kraus | 68c | 208.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sinja Kraus | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Darja Semenistaja | 40c | 199.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Darja Semenistaja | 26c | 192.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…b852backed Sinja Kraus | 59c | 186.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sinja Kraus | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Darja Semenistaja | 28c | 168.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Darja Semenistaja | 24c | 163$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…1706backed Darja Semenistaja | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Darja Semenistaja | 40c | 148.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 62c | 145.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darja Semenistaja | 27c | 141.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Darja Semenistaja | 40c | 138.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Sinja Kraus | 63c | 138$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 300 | 51.7%155 W · 145 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 136.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Darja Semenistaja | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Darja Semenistaja | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Darja Semenistaja | 26c | 118.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Darja Semenistaja | 39c | 115.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Sinja Kraus | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 385 | 22.3%86 W · 299 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Darja Semenistaja | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sinja Kraus | 64c | 96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Darja Semenistaja | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinja Kraus | 72c | 88.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Darja Semenistaja | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Sinja Kraus | 44c | 86.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Darja Semenistaja | 38c | 86.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Darja Semenistaja | 33c | 80.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Sinja Kraus | 64c | 79.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Darja Semenistaja | 30c | 78.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 76.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Darja Semenistaja | 24c | 73.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Sinja Kraus | 66c | 71.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 174 | 23.6%41 W · 133 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…dabdbacked Sinja Kraus | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…5112backed Sinja Kraus | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 54.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 52.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 389 | 66.1%257 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…2eb0backed Darja Semenistaja | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 51.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Darja Semenistaja | 30c | 50.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Darja Semenistaja | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Sinja Krausthis page
- Semenistaja vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Semenistaja vs. Kraus: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Semenistaja vs KrausSemenistaja won
- Set 2 Winner: Semenistaja vs KrausKraus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.