TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc22c…da61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$849.88
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.87
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$388.73
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$54.41
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$241.11
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$742.86
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$345.88
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$489.47
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$489.05
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$102.22
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$67.76
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Memphis Classic: Tatjana Maria vs Renata Zarazuabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.22
Vancouver: Moyuka Uchijima vs Hayu Kinoshitabacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Margaux Rouvroybacked Alice Rame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$24.26
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81%+$121.44
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.24
Targu Mures: Miriam Bulgaru vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$43.32
Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Julie Struplovabacked Alice Rame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$21.25
Targu Mures: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$12.66
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.47
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$92.73
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Palermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burelbacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$86.57
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$122.69
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$524.76
Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$90.36
Hamburg European Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$74.17
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Deborah Chiesabacked Deborah Chiesa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Livesport Prague Open: Ayla Aksu vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$37.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.