Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Margaux Rouvroy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f8385b10f8cba2049e21cf0cb1b85f95fdd921eaf386e3ff83dbc8bfd9f8ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alice Rameof Alice Rame, Margaux Rouvroy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Margaux Rouvroy | 21c | 16,524$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Margaux Rouvroy | 7c | 14,471$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alice Rame | 80c | 8,344$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.01 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Margaux Rouvroy | 8c | 3,694$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Margaux Rouvroy | 9c | 3,406$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Margaux Rouvroy | 7c | 2,122$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Margaux Rouvroy | 11c | 2,108$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 11c | 1,167$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Margaux Rouvroy | 10c | 756.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Margaux Rouvroy | 15c | 755.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Margaux Rouvroy | 10c | 681.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Alice Rame | 76c | 653.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Rame | 57c | 395.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…5bf7backed Margaux Rouvroy | 43c | 384.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 373.91$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 18c | 370.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Margaux Rouvroy | 14c | 355.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Alice Rame | 80c | 314.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 46c | 277.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alice Rame | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alice Rame | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Margaux Rouvroy | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 22c | 240$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Alice Rame | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 155.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Margaux Rouvroy | 14c | 151.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Margaux Rouvroy | 21c | 120.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Margaux Rouvroy | 23c | 117.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Margaux Rouvroy | 24c | 102.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 27c | 99.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 89.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 83.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Margaux Rouvroy | 23c | 74.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Margaux Rouvroy | 29c | 73.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Alice Rame | 55c | 72.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Alice Rame | 56c | 66.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alice Rame | 77c | 64.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Alice Rame | 58c | 58.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…da61backed Alice Rame | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…d2d1backed Alice Rame | 58c | 50.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Margaux Rouvroy | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 42.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Margaux Rouvroy | 44c | 41.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Margaux Rouvroy | 39c | 41.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alice Rame | 57c | 41.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Alice Rame | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alice Rame | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Alice Rame | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alice Rame | 78c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Alice Rame | 56c | 28.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alice Rame | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Alice Rame | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alice Rame | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…912abacked Alice Rame | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Alice Rame | 58c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…48cdbacked Alice Rame | 54c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.