UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bfbd6414ee4c19fa81f2f1f948a4816b87f6bc9980e7fa20029402eb7275b81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Christian Leroy Duncanof Jared Cannonier, Christian Leroy Duncan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $648,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Jared Cannonier | 27c | 214,544$57,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,781.49 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 116,330$84,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,409.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 69,602$51,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,551.38 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 28,753$22,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,405.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Jared Cannonier | 26c | 19,418$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 18,000$13,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Jared Cannonier | 25c | 16,745$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.97 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 15,404$12,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.09 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Jared Cannonier | 18c | 15,000$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 79c | 13,650$10,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.37 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 75c | 13,646$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.07 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jared Cannonier | 23c | 12,426$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.74 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Jared Cannonier | 21c | 11,165$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.28 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 10,400$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Jared Cannonier | 28c | 9,640$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.15 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Jared Cannonier | 0c | 9,167$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Jared Cannonier | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Jared Cannonier | 26c | 8,210$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.72 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 7,237$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.05 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 6,107$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 5,736$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.21 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Jared Cannonier | 25c | 5,555$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 4,568$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.7 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Jared Cannonier | 25c | 4,563$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Jared Cannonier | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 4,222$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 75c | 4,150$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.5 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 79c | 4,021$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.49 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 4,014$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Jared Cannonier | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…e704backed Jared Cannonier | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 80c | 3,437$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jared Cannonier | 18c | 3,278$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.38 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Jared Cannonier | 4c | 3,265$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Jared Cannonier | 2c | 3,215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Jared Cannonier | 18c | 3,191$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.64 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Jared Cannonier | 11c | 3,184$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…25adbacked Jared Cannonier | 26c | 3,155$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jared Cannonier | 25c | 3,150$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Jared Cannonier | 27c | 3,148$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 3,067$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 72c | 2,998$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 2,811$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.81 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 2,757$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 73c | 2,739$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Jared Cannonier | 24c | 2,496$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.98 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Jared Cannonier | 22c | 2,364$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jared Cannonier | 22c | 2,124$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.83 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Jared Cannonier | 22c | 2,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Jared Cannonier | 24c | 2,097$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.31 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Jared Cannonier | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Jared Cannonier | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Jared Cannonier | 23c | 1,999$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.59 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 75c | 1,867$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Jared Cannonier | 27c | 1,819$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.57 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 1,800$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 1,755$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Jared Cannonier | 24c | 1,700$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 80c | 1,700$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Jared Cannonier | 26c | 1,682$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 1,675$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.47 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Jared Cannonier | 35c | 1,546$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.13 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Jared Cannonier | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 1,491$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Jared Cannonier | 31c | 1,370$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.01 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Jared Cannonier | 25c | 1,312$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…dc17backed Jared Cannonier | 19c | 1,301$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Jared Cannonier | 22c | 1,299$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 80c | 1,245$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 1,236$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.49 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…104dbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 1,220$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Jared Cannonier | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Jared Cannonier | 27c | 1,173$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Jared Cannonier | 27c | 1,155$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Jared Cannonier | 22c | 1,100$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 80c | 1,070$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 1,020$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.98 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Jared Cannonier | 33c | 1,017$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.43 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Jared Cannonier | 26c | 1,015$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jared Cannonier | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Jared Cannonier | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Jared Cannonier | 24c | 999.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.97 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Jared Cannonier | 15c | 997$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…044fbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 950.84$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Jared Cannonier | 14c | 939$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Jared Cannonier | 23c | 926.03$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 918.92$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.92 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 915.04$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Jared Cannonier | 19c | 850$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Jared Cannonier | 24c | 817.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Jared Cannonier | 21c | 813.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 75c | 804.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Christian Leroy Duncan win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Jared Cannonier win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.