Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32046bdc03d13d916351bd2178cc20c5f268802d4ae60c0d8383ae91d2dd1d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,952,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,740,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,952,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 68c | 2,733,150$1,858,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874,607.86 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 1,523,670$473,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473,970.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 1,086,812$341,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341,382.27 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 69c | 795,776$552,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243,214.99 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 69c | 614,469$421,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,485.53 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 538,014$145,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,766.32 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 32c | 533,375$168,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,512.53 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed No | 69c | 476,907$330,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,205.54 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 449,382$359,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,999.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 69c | 442,108$305,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,053.53 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Yes | 31c | 321,334$98,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,182.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 32c | 305,040$97,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,612.79 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 304,919$65,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,616.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 31c | 264,626$82,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,033.91 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 28c | 263,299$72,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,526.64 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 70c | 262,638$184,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,339.63 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 253,450$77,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,986.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443e…fef8backed Yes | 8c | 234,112$18,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,957.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed No | 70c | 173,317$121,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,995.2 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 69c | 156,876$108,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,631.46 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…5547backed Yes | 32c | 156,250$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…0832backed No | 69c | 144,928$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,927.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 70c | 142,055$99,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,616.35 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 132,699$90,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,850.26 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed No | 68c | 117,180$79,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,497.57 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked No | 69c | 109,204$75,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,683.15 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 10c | 107,623$10,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,762.35 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 7c | 100,380$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.72 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 32c | 99,558$31,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,858.68 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 97,822$20,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,466.86 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 24c | 97,771$23,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,001.51 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bc8abacked Yes | 32c | 93,750$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…1488backed Yes | 32c | 86,683$27,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,738.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed No | 68c | 83,305$56,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,657.59 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 13c | 82,878$10,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,628.18 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 30c | 75,702$22,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,593 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 7c | 75,604$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.02 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…2a64backed No | 70c | 72,141$50,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,642.23 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 69c | 68,209$47,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,144.68 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 31c | 60,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.99 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 22c | 52,532$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.97 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked No | 70c | 50,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 68c | 48,750$33,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Yes | 9c | 45,000$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 43,779$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 4c | 43,274$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.26 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 42,331$30,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,194.23 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed No | 68c | 42,290$28,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,525.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 32c | 42,222$13,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,511.04 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…be2cbacked No | 68c | 41,635$28,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,323.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 20c | 41,598$8,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,116.09 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 69c | 41,389$28,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,686.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 18c | 40,000$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 38,365$27,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100.05 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes | 4c | 38,048$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.18 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 38,015$29,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,791.58 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 37,415$11,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,860.87 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 36,417$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.52 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 68c | 36,215$24,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,441.78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 26c | 35,926$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 12c | 35,459$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.86 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 31c | 33,740$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes | 32c | 33,589$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Yes | 32c | 33,085$10,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,587.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked No | 68c | 31,412$21,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 32c | 31,250$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 30,488$20,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,534.64 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…4c89backed Yes | 32c | 30,395$9,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,726.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 31c | 30,000$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,180 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 68c | 30,000$20,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,524.97 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…c5f8backed No | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 68c | 29,250$19,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,359.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…3f8cbacked No | 69c | 29,135$20,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,031.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Yes | 6c | 27,811$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 69c | 27,084$18,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350.35 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked Yes | 9c | 26,928$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.46 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 30c | 26,733$8,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,092.19 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 26,251$17,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,329.8 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…28d6backed Yes | 2c | 25,344$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 7c | 25,259$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.32 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.99 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 68c | 24,914$16,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,974.49 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 24,793$17,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.3 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 15c | 24,442$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.59 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…7e1cbacked Yes | 6c | 24,129$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…8daebacked No | 70c | 24,047$16,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…2e92backed No | 70c | 24,047$16,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 6c | 22,803$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.14 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…62dabacked Yes | 15c | 22,757$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed No | 79c | 22,317$17,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.57 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 18c | 22,279$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Yes | 31c | 21,589$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,692.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…0e59backed Yes | 31c | 21,525$6,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,747.69 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…cf20backed Yes | 0c | 20,307$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f1…651bbacked Yes | 23c | 20,099$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Yes | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 68c | 20,000$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.94 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes won
- Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.