Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Taisei Ichikawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660b11d6aa36a4dcb546d4b69e5f593b2d32b2256bf816e98aa85c163f9d5eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryuki Matsudaof Ryuki Matsuda, Taisei Ichikawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Taisei Ichikawa | 61c | 16,933$10,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,401.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 46c | 11,429$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,156.7 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Ryuki Matsuda | 19c | 8,816$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,128.25 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Ryuki Matsuda | 30c | 4,000$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.98 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Taisei Ichikawa | 76c | 3,963$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 2c | 2,884$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Ryuki Matsuda | 37c | 2,601$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.49 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ryuki Matsuda | 43c | 2,206$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.57 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Taisei Ichikawa | 57c | 1,433$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.51 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 31c | 1,130$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.77 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Ryuki Matsuda | 45c | 1,098$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.78 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Ryuki Matsuda | 30c | 980.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.18 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Taisei Ichikawa | 57c | 738.45$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ryuki Matsuda | 43c | 616$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Taisei Ichikawa | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 61c | 571.4$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Taisei Ichikawa | 61c | 495.55$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.22 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 32c | 479.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Taisei Ichikawa | 43c | 395.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Taisei Ichikawa | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 68c | 337.91$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 32c | 305.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Ryuki Matsuda | 14c | 239.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Taisei Ichikawa | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Taisei Ichikawa | 49c | 188.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Ryuki Matsuda | 69c | 187.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ryuki Matsuda | 38c | 166.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Taisei Ichikawa | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Taisei Ichikawa | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ryuki Matsuda | 75c | 144.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Taisei Ichikawa | 57c | 122.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ryuki Matsuda | 43c | 119.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ryuki Matsuda | 45c | 115.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ryuki Matsuda | 33c | 106.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Ryuki Matsuda | 11c | 104.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Ryuki Matsuda | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…ad81backed Ryuki Matsuda | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 51c | 98.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 53c | 96.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2f…65ecbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Ryuki Matsuda | 36c | 79.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…dabdbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 26c | 70.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fe38backed Taisei Ichikawa | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…dc74backed Ryuki Matsuda | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 20c | 57.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Taisei Ichikawa | 57c | 43.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Ryuki Matsuda | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ryuki Matsuda | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ryuki Matsuda | 45c | 39.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Ryuki Matsuda | 40c | 37.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf04…6bf7backed Taisei Ichikawa | 69c | 35.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…23ffbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 61c | 35.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 40c | 34.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…2f58backed Ryuki Matsuda | 36c | 30.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Ryuki Matsuda | 39c | 30.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…9bd5backed Taisei Ichikawa | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Taisei Ichikawa | 60c | 25.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Ryuki Matsuda | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Taisei Ichikawa | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…dc84backed Taisei Ichikawa | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…3919backed Taisei Ichikawa | 67c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Taisei Ichikawa | 52c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Taisei Ichikawa | 67c | 20.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Ryuki Matsuda | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ryuki Matsuda | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Taisei Ichikawa | 68c | 19.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.