CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeaa6957849c5f1e466d2941415d79e7343c0e56364c9bf4dcdca659250efbbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof ARCRED, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6185…2965backed 1WIN | 55c | 5,465$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.25 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ARCRED | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.94 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ARCRED | 36c | 4,204$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.08 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked 1WIN | 53c | 3,800$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.13 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED | 45c | 2,466$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED | 44c | 2,146$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ARCRED | 30c | 2,137$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.96 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed 1WIN | 57c | 1,665$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed ARCRED | 42c | 1,650$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.8 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ARCRED | 44c | 1,620$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ARCRED | 32c | 1,591$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.1 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed 1WIN | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.21 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ARCRED | 44c | 1,431$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.05 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ARCRED | 15c | 1,016$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ARCRED | 44c | 1,013$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.46 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked 1WIN | 62c | 975.19$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.19 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed 1WIN | 43c | 935.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1WIN | 62c | 887.02$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked 1WIN | 35c | 884.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.44 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed 1WIN | 71c | 866.9$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.59 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ARCRED | 47c | 820$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…7260backed ARCRED | 68c | 803$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN | 28c | 790.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.92 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed 1WIN | 55c | 749.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 1WIN | 51c | 720.78$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.18 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked ARCRED | 66c | 665.78$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 46c | 661.96$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ARCRED | 42c | 643.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.13 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked ARCRED | 43c | 622.85$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed ARCRED | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed 1WIN | 54c | 594.19$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed 1WIN | 53c | 591.12$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed ARCRED | 64c | 590.81$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed 1WIN | 53c | 584.12$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ARCRED | 37c | 559.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked 1WIN | 54c | 557.16$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.29 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked 1WIN | 55c | 511.5$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.17 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed 1WIN | 54c | 509.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.71 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…d561backed ARCRED | 48c | 502.21$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ARCRED | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 1WIN | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed 1WIN | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ARCRED | 45c | 485.06$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…dc01backed ARCRED | 67c | 414.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ARCRED | 43c | 412$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed ARCRED | 46c | 411.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked ARCRED | 45c | 410.81$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ARCRED | 40c | 402.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1WIN | 55c | 394.29$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed 1WIN | 48c | 379.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 1WIN | 58c | 375.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed ARCRED | 69c | 348.24$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed 1WIN | 64c | 345.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked ARCRED | 68c | 345$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ARCRED | 27c | 337.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 1WIN | 54c | 332.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed 1WIN | 52c | 331.33$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed 1WIN | 51c | 319.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed 1WIN | 55c | 318.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked ARCRED | 51c | 318.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1WIN | 59c | 315.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed ARCRED | 43c | 303.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…4465backed 1WIN | 48c | 302.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked 1WIN | 55c | 301.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked 1WIN | 77c | 290.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked ARCRED | 48c | 276.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4103backed 1WIN | 73c | 275.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed ARCRED | 42c | 272.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN | 34c | 269.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked ARCRED | 75c | 267$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed ARCRED | 52c | 264.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ARCRED | 63c | 264.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked 1WIN | 52c | 260.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ARCRED | 37c | 259.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ARCRED | 39c | 251.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1WIN | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed ARCRED | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked 1WIN | 29c | 249.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed ARCRED | 39c | 247.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ARCRED | 42c | 246.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed ARCRED | 69c | 239.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked ARCRED | 42c | 238.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ARCRED | 34c | 231.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed 1WIN | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ARCRED | 24c | 227$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked 1WIN | 73c | 225.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked 1WIN | 55c | 223.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked ARCRED | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed ARCRED | 70c | 221.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 1WIN | 51c | 213.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 1WIN | 35c | 212$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed ARCRED | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed ARCRED | 71c | 197$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1WIN | 53c | 192.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 34c | 191.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed 1WIN | 73c | 190.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN | 57c | 189.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed 1WIN | 33c | 183.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked 1WIN | 55c | 181.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed ARCRED | 51c | 181.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.