CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024f9cbf8f95780a16927e630be5563c4ddafc729151b4475f1726885c9a04c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof ARCRED, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 1WIN | 60c | 5,488$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.7 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ARCRED | 41c | 4,314$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed 1WIN | 53c | 4,100$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.49 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 1WIN | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.95 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ARCRED | 41c | 1,767$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.67 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1WIN | 62c | 1,419$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.98 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked 1WIN | 67c | 1,366$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.62 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed ARCRED | 37c | 1,350$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ARCRED | 47c | 1,286$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ARCRED | 44c | 1,144$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.35 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 1WIN | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed ARCRED | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed ARCRED | 47c | 880$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1WIN | 63c | 799.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ARCRED | 48c | 794.87$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed ARCRED | 53c | 786.91$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.37 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1WIN | 67c | 722.29$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed ARCRED | 49c | 716.5$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.41 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ARCRED | 19c | 695.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed ARCRED | 50c | 685.74$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.74 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked ARCRED | 40c | 669.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed ARCRED | 46c | 637.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked 1WIN | 50c | 605.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.02 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ARCRED | 34c | 597.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 46c | 548.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ARCRED | 5c | 503$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked ARCRED | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed 1WIN | 57c | 473.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked 1WIN | 55c | 440.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ARCRED | 48c | 438.48$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…1e98backed 1WIN | 46c | 355.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…cd83backed ARCRED | 35c | 350.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed 1WIN | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked ARCRED | 35c | 325.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed ARCRED | 48c | 301.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed ARCRED | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed ARCRED | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked ARCRED | 34c | 290.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 63c | 288.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ARCRED | 45c | 283.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ARCRED | 39c | 281.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed 1WIN | 53c | 280.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked ARCRED | 46c | 247.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked ARCRED | 45c | 230$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked ARCRED | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed ARCRED | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ARCRED | 26c | 216.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed 1WIN | 56c | 214.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked 1WIN | 61c | 212.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ARCRED | 40c | 207$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ARCRED | 15c | 204.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed 1WIN | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 55c | 178.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed 1WIN | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed 1WIN | 56c | 175.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…74bbbacked 1WIN | 57c | 174.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed 1WIN | 58c | 172.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 1WIN | 56c | 151.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ARCRED | 39c | 151.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked 1WIN | 40c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked ARCRED | 45c | 127.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1WIN | 56c | 126.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed ARCRED | 51c | 121.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed 1WIN | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ARCRED | 39c | 119$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ARCRED | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed 1WIN | 61c | 112.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ARCRED | 52c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed 1WIN | 54c | 110.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked ARCRED | 45c | 108.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 1WIN | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…e18fbacked ARCRED | 54c | 99.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ARCRED | 32c | 90.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked ARCRED | 24c | 87.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed 1WIN | 56c | 84.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed ARCRED | 58c | 83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed ARCRED | 29c | 78.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed 1WIN | 68c | 77.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…8b09backed 1WIN | 67c | 76.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed 1WIN | 61c | 74.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ARCRED | 19c | 74.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed ARCRED | 47c | 72.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed 1WIN | 54c | 70.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed ARCRED | 45c | 65.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed ARCRED | 45c | 62.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…1734backed ARCRED | 45c | 62.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…7ecbbacked ARCRED | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ARCRED | 36c | 56.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed ARCRED | 45c | 56.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…404cbacked 1WIN | 53c | 55.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed ARCRED | 45c | 54.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN | 57c | 53.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ARCRED | 43c | 52.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…9277backed 1WIN | 58c | 51.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf51…af6abacked ARCRED | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked ARCRED | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed ARCRED | 71c | 42.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…a2b8backed ARCRED | 45c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed ARCRED | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed 1WIN | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.