TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x971f…1e98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.28
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.7
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.73
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$179.01
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$190.58
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$41.69
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$38.37
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$38.51
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$23.41
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$65.9
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 3 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+50%+$69.27
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.59
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.33
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.59
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+216.8%+$24.13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$86.34
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$29.78
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$34.77
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.6
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.66
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.79
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.86
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$197.8
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$67.6
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$16.87
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$90.21
Dota 2: Level UP vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$28.28
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$36.07
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.