CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764518935b11d281dadc07198e883e5e4b95c9590888ee2be142bcfa4ae2b8e6

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fluxo W7Mof Bounty Hunters Esports, Fluxo W7M
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,555 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M	49c	1,072$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.52	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Bounty Hunters Esports	49c	1,020$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.86	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Fluxo W7M	66c	760$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.8	521	50.3%262 W · 259 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Bounty Hunters Esports	68c	700$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports	38c	558.45$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.06	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Fluxo W7M	73c	468.06$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.91	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M	61c	450.99$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.4	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	244	47.1%115 W · 129 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4579…dfdfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	55c	345.33$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.13	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Fluxo W7M	32c	338$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.71	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Fluxo W7M	66c	324.67$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.49	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	29c	299.46$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.57	249	39.8%99 W · 150 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Fluxo W7M	35c	293$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.56	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	34c	287.62$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.79	530	34.7%184 W · 346 L	-32.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Bounty Hunters Esports	51c	286.7$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.08	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	39c	285.56$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.36	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Bounty Hunters Esports	48c	273.69$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.16	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed Bounty Hunters Esports	44c	249.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Fluxo W7M	54c	247.28$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.8	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Bounty Hunters Esports	37c	200.92$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	288	43.1%124 W · 164 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports	37c	197.2$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.18	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Fluxo W7M	60c	190.4$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.22	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Bounty Hunters Esports	34c	189.48$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.95	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Fluxo W7M	42c	175$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.69	100	31%31 W · 69 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fluxo W7M	35c	169$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.85	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M	59c	164.18$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.13	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Bounty Hunters Esports	46c	160.88$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce3f…3543backed Bounty Hunters Esports	39c	160$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Fluxo W7M	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	176	48.3%85 W · 91 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	46c	139.27$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.23	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Fluxo W7M	62c	130.77$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.77	204	44.1%90 W · 114 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Fluxo W7M	59c	116.62$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.55	419	38.9%163 W · 256 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Bounty Hunters Esports	37c	107.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports	31c	102.16$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	170	41.2%70 W · 100 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	247	46.6%115 W · 132 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Fluxo W7M	75c	99.99$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.25	245	58%142 W · 103 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports	34c	96.53$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.17	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fluxo W7M	63c	94.98$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.51	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Fluxo W7M	36c	94.29$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.09	622	48.2%300 W · 322 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fluxo W7M	70c	92$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.48	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Fluxo W7M	49c	90.92$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Fluxo W7M	55c	90.9$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.9	384	69.5%267 W · 117 L	+31.6wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fluxo W7M	53c	84.58$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Fluxo W7M	54c	78.34$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.17	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Fluxo W7M	65c	77.2$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Fluxo W7M	65c	76.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.09	421	54.6%230 W · 191 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	47c	73$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.29	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	47c	73$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.29	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x014a…9ddbbacked Fluxo W7M	44c	67.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.07	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M	44c	66.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.11	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Fluxo W7M	54c	65.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.08	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports	23c	63.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bounty Hunters Esports	36c	62$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bounty Hunters Esports	38c	59.78$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x971f…1e98backed Bounty Hunters Esports	43c	56.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked Fluxo W7M	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4e…5c75backed Bounty Hunters Esports	34c	47.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Fluxo W7M	64c	47.11$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.11	210	60%126 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fluxo W7M	50c	43.81$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.09	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bounty Hunters Esports	37c	42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Bounty Hunters Esports	50c	34.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Bounty Hunters Esports	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Fluxo W7M	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	413	72.2%298 W · 115 L	+25.0wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f4e…abebbacked Fluxo W7M	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	445	63.8%284 W · 161 L	+19.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Fluxo W7M	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Fluxo W7M	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	287	61.3%176 W · 111 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M	70c	22.96$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.94	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event