TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Bounty Hunters Esports, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo W7M61c4,967$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.825,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M80c1,984$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.916,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M78c1,850$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.013,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Bounty Hunters Esports33c1,750$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.191,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Bounty Hunters Esports40c1,400$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.348047.5%38 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c1,110$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.535,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c1,038$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9626624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bounty Hunters Esports26c946.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.812,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c861.41$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.024136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Fluxo W7M62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4559755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Bounty Hunters Esports17c754.37$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7342154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports38c649.98$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.991,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Bounty Hunters Esports38c607.58$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.884341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Fluxo W7M61c583$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3746555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fluxo W7M62c570.55$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.892,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports22c563.15$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5224939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M73c528.67$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.023,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Fluxo W7M61c513.78$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.441,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports37c510$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.758343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M75c474$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.223,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Bounty Hunters Esports38c460.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17547054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports31c405.4$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12519147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bounty Hunters Esports17c401.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.392,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Fluxo W7M63c400$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14755941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bounty Hunters Esports41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505565.5%36 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports26c350.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.743,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports19c343$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.474,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Fluxo W7M62c321.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4731761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Fluxo W7M64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.522567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Fluxo W7M63c310$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.738052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Bounty Hunters Esports13c269.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M77c258.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.182,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports29c252.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1475833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Fluxo W7M62c240.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3352150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Fluxo W7M63c237.2$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.311,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Fluxo W7M69c230.42$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2185851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports24c218.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.372,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb849…bce6backed Bounty Hunters Esports20c216.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.538222%18 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fluxo W7M64c208.64$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9799148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Fluxo W7M79c195$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2752369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports23c187$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.232,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports36c161.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2632458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Bounty Hunters Esports36c159.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4218645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports38c156.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0744747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Bounty Hunters Esports20c144.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.011,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Bounty Hunters Esports29c127.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9639353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c121.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6938841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed Fluxo W7M79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.117866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports19c119.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.662,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Bounty Hunters Esports36c119.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1480740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports19c111.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3438032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Bounty Hunters Esports40c103.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5513058.5%76 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Fluxo W7M62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3824850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3824746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Bounty Hunters Esports28c91.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bounty Hunters Esports23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.551,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Bounty Hunters Esports23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0275438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Bounty Hunters Esports23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Bounty Hunters Esports39c86.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1224054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e69…30a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports39c81.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Bounty Hunters Esports38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c71.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5828843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c67.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0148851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Bounty Hunters Esports21c65.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6162248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports40c63.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.422060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Fluxo W7M63c54.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1360954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Fluxo W7M76c52.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.810867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c50.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9467750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Fluxo W7M60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.526448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fluxo W7M73c48.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Bounty Hunters Esports39c48.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.913030%9 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5edf…7139backed Fluxo W7M63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.622955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Fluxo W7M63c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3925643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Bounty Hunters Esports40c46.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5433627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Fluxo W7M66c45.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4767547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Fluxo W7M74c42.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Bounty Hunters Esports40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810736.4%39 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Bounty Hunters Esports39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.774953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Fluxo W7M64c31.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.238031.3%25 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Bounty Hunters Esports37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9541437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed Fluxo W7M74c26.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.947851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Bounty Hunters Esports40c26.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed Fluxo W7M62c24.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4410457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Fluxo W7M78c23.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.15972.9%43 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cd…6d22backed Fluxo W7M65c22.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.826462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b94…ab4ebacked Fluxo W7M63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Fluxo W7M77c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.693261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Fluxo W7M76c19.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.718481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Fluxo W7M62c19.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3517360.1%104 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed Fluxo W7M64c18.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5916363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Fluxo W7M63c17.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2926346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Fluxo W7M64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.