UFC · resolved market
O/U 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cdbf082743bba9f19cf42e6f75fec67cdcb111d65b30c8c965ee00c4e666d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Under | 59c | 25,648$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,398.34 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 8,635$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.98 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 42c | 8,478$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.41 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 42c | 6,393$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.41 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 46c | 6,000$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 42c | 3,473$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.49 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Under | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 43c | 1,925$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.63 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Over | 36c | 1,749$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.29 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 1,728$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.82 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Over | 2c | 1,282$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 56c | 1,113$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 57c | 754.39$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…c1f2backed Under | 53c | 684.91$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Under | 55c | 499.61$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 57c | 452.83$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.95 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Under | 56c | 447.11$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 57c | 439$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Under | 57c | 438.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Under | 57c | 308.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 57c | 273$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 213.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 57c | 212.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 47c | 208.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 41c | 177.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…d1f3backed Under | 57c | 171.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 51c | 170.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Under | 56c | 109.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Under | 56c | 107.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under | 56c | 107.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Under | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 56c | 88.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 57c | 80.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 56c | 77.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 43c | 76.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…f000backed Under | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Under | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 43c | 68.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…1e98backed Under | 56c | 66.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Under | 57c | 61.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 43c | 53.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 56c | 52.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Under | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 42c | 45.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…b3f3backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Over | 45c | 36.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…df57backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Under | 58c | 34.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…7d1dbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…aa5bbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…145abacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Under | 58c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Under | 56c | 33.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Under | 58c | 33.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…77e3backed Under | 58c | 33.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…988cbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 57c | 24.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…0182backed Under | 58c | 22.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 58c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 2.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)Matheus Camilo won
- Will Nazim Sadykhov win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.