TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matheus Camiloof Nazim Sadykhov, Matheus Camilo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$695,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$723,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Nazim Sadykhov65c264,076$171,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,553.947454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Matheus Camilo35c175,650$61,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,172.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Nazim Sadykhov0c130,533$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Matheus Camilo35c68,236$23,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,353.3910035%35 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matheus Camilo35c43,853$15,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,566.0215444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Nazim Sadykhov65c39,777$25,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,855.0213452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Matheus Camilo37c35,223$13,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,078.1216244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Matheus Camilo35c30,403$10,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,615.6937152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Nazim Sadykhov63c29,192$18,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,362.323650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Nazim Sadykhov65c21,759$14,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,143.395149%25 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Matheus Camilo37c20,782$7,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,092.3829133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d6…e50ebacked Nazim Sadykhov1c19,226$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Nazim Sadykhov63c16,544$10,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,442.9515641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Matheus Camilo35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,500.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Nazim Sadykhov62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2004942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Matheus Camilo34c8,998$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,938.7514558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Matheus Camilo38c8,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.9910542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299b…cdc1backed Matheus Camilo42c7,616$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.081070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Matheus Camilo37c7,005$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,438.614551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1f…49e6backed Nazim Sadykhov66c6,103$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.933259.4%19 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Nazim Sadykhov64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8401442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Matheus Camilo38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nazim Sadykhov59c6,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57017055.3%94 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60eb…1df1backed Matheus Camilo38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,720250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Nazim Sadykhov61c5,920$3,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,610.355152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Matheus Camilo38c4,776$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.128849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Matheus Camilo35c4,339$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Nazim Sadykhov62c3,947$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.143551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Matheus Camilo77c3,910$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.366963.8%44 W · 25 L+11.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Matheus Camilo41c3,637$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Matheus Camilo35c3,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Nazim Sadykhov55c3,333$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Nazim Sadykhov63c3,174$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.271573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Matheus Camilo36c3,160$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.214233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Matheus Camilo35c2,819$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.661936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Nazim Sadykhov62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55025251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Nazim Sadykhov62c2,420$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.46172.1%44 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Nazim Sadykhov2c2,406$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.24224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+65.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Nazim Sadykhov66c2,323$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.4815048.7%73 W · 77 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa476…8cfcbacked Nazim Sadykhov66c2,273$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nazim Sadykhov69c2,257$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.0418032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nazim Sadykhov48c2,101$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.0927448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Matheus Camilo36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2804721.3%10 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Nazim Sadykhov63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2609147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Matheus Camilo38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.943735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Nazim Sadykhov64c1,902$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.423857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Matheus Camilo36c1,787$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc80…ae6fbacked Nazim Sadykhov29c1,781$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1507…e175backed Matheus Camilo29c1,693$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.2610746.7%50 W · 57 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…0119backed Nazim Sadykhov66c1,670$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Nazim Sadykhov37c1,633$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Nazim Sadykhov62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.066354%34 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Matheus Camilo37c1,580$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.3226140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Nazim Sadykhov64c1,570$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.815552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nazim Sadykhov60c1,540$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.3715238.2%58 W · 94 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Nazim Sadykhov62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93035564.5%229 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Matheus Camilo35c1,490$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.520933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Matheus Camilo37c1,401$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.481747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Nazim Sadykhov62c1,317$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.1820837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Nazim Sadykhov62c1,205$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.088640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nazim Sadykhov61c1,148$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.5822348.4%108 W · 115 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Matheus Camilo36c1,089$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nazim Sadykhov6c1,060$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615933.3%53 W · 106 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Nazim Sadykhov63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305044%22 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Matheus Camilo45c975.67$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.223839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Nazim Sadykhov64c968.75$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked Nazim Sadykhov64c938$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.326759.7%40 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Matheus Camilo43c904.26$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.385560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Nazim Sadykhov64c839.19$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.0831855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Nazim Sadykhov62c818$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.164546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Nazim Sadykhov62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4966056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Matheus Camilo35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Nazim Sadykhov62c789.35$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.42250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Nazim Sadykhov63c752.89$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.58257.3%47 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b1…9ba8backed Nazim Sadykhov66c752.21$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Nazim Sadykhov7c728.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.732650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Nazim Sadykhov62c707$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Matheus Camilo39c699.99$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4297237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nazim Sadykhov64c696.37$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6811057.3%63 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Nazim Sadykhov63c694.13$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.947263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Nazim Sadykhov64c579.98$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Nazim Sadykhov64c573.67$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.491850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Matheus Camilo32c564.94$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.168744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed Nazim Sadykhov66c530.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Matheus Camilo72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.212451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Nazim Sadykhov61c498.75$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2412845.3%58 W · 70 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef0…fcf7backed Nazim Sadykhov64c490$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nazim Sadykhov62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012833.6%43 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Matheus Camilo38c442.81$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.11533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Matheus Camilo30c407.29$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.422438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Nazim Sadykhov65c400$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25823961.5%147 W · 92 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Nazim Sadykhov64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25636655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Matheus Camilo35c399.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9942042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Matheus Camilo37c395.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3720048.5%97 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Nazim Sadykhov64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…36f4backed Nazim Sadykhov64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Matheus Camilo39c383.45$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.223636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Nazim Sadykhov65c360.89$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Nazim Sadykhov57c360$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.437648.7%37 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Nazim Sadykhov57c360$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.436947.8%33 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.