UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8ea92c9d01b9ab435326843c758a082685d69bff48a3a6acd9ada77b5312d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matheus Camiloof Nazim Sadykhov, Matheus Camilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $723,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Nazim Sadykhov | 65c | 264,076$171,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,553.94 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 175,650$61,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,172.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 0c | 130,533$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 68,236$23,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,353.39 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 43,853$15,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,566.02 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Nazim Sadykhov | 65c | 39,777$25,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,855.02 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Matheus Camilo | 37c | 35,223$13,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,078.12 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Matheus Camilo | 35c | 30,403$10,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,615.69 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 63c | 29,192$18,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,362.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nazim Sadykhov | 65c | 21,759$14,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,143.39 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Matheus Camilo | 37c | 20,782$7,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,092.38 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d6…e50ebacked Nazim Sadykhov | 1c | 19,226$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Nazim Sadykhov | 63c | 16,544$10,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,442.95 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Matheus Camilo | 34c | 8,998$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,938.75 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Matheus Camilo | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.99 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Matheus Camilo | 42c | 7,616$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Matheus Camilo | 37c | 7,005$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.6 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Nazim Sadykhov | 66c | 6,103$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.93 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Matheus Camilo | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nazim Sadykhov | 59c | 6,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…1df1backed Matheus Camilo | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Nazim Sadykhov | 61c | 5,920$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Matheus Camilo | 38c | 4,776$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.1 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 4,339$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 3,947$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Matheus Camilo | 77c | 3,910$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.36 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Matheus Camilo | 41c | 3,637$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 55c | 3,333$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Nazim Sadykhov | 63c | 3,174$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Matheus Camilo | 36c | 3,160$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.21 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 2,819$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 2,420$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.4 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Nazim Sadykhov | 2c | 2,406$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Nazim Sadykhov | 66c | 2,323$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.48 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nazim Sadykhov | 69c | 2,257$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.04 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nazim Sadykhov | 48c | 2,101$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.09 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Matheus Camilo | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Matheus Camilo | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.94 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 1,902$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.42 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Matheus Camilo | 36c | 1,787$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 29c | 1,781$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Matheus Camilo | 29c | 1,693$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.26 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…0119backed Nazim Sadykhov | 66c | 1,670$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Nazim Sadykhov | 37c | 1,633$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Matheus Camilo | 37c | 1,580$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.32 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 1,570$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.8 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 60c | 1,540$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.37 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 1,490$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.5 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Matheus Camilo | 37c | 1,401$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 1,317$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.18 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 1,205$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.08 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 61c | 1,148$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.58 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Matheus Camilo | 36c | 1,089$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 6c | 1,060$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Matheus Camilo | 45c | 975.67$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 968.75$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 938$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Matheus Camilo | 43c | 904.26$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.38 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 839.19$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.08 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 818$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.16 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 789.35$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 63c | 752.89$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…9ba8backed Nazim Sadykhov | 66c | 752.21$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nazim Sadykhov | 7c | 728.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 707$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Matheus Camilo | 39c | 699.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 696.37$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.68 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Nazim Sadykhov | 63c | 694.13$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.94 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 579.98$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 573.67$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Matheus Camilo | 32c | 564.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6e64backed Nazim Sadykhov | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Matheus Camilo | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Nazim Sadykhov | 61c | 498.75$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…fcf7backed Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 490$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nazim Sadykhov | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Matheus Camilo | 38c | 442.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Matheus Camilo | 30c | 407.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Nazim Sadykhov | 65c | 400$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 239 | 61.5%147 W · 92 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Matheus Camilo | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Matheus Camilo | 37c | 395.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Nazim Sadykhov | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Matheus Camilo | 39c | 383.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Nazim Sadykhov | 65c | 360.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Nazim Sadykhov | 57c | 360$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.43 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Nazim Sadykhov | 57c | 360$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.43 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Nazim Sadykhov win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.