Fifa International · resolved market
France leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e272604dd6de6847748f34eb79514d83c01e849b46de43bf2b6a615d7b84a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $674,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $739,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 102,169$23,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,846.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,399.9 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 44c | 57,800$25,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,204.19 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 57c | 52,715$30,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,667.32 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 44c | 49,676$21,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,680.89 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 48,048$25,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,886.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 44c | 42,561$18,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,679.33 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 47c | 29,064$13,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,556.22 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 55c | 26,946$14,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 20,072$14,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 55c | 17,571$9,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.09 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 16,966$7,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,218.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 16,782$7,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,175.83 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.98 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 43c | 10,567$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.18 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 55c | 10,435$5,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.74 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 57c | 8,454$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.3 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 47c | 7,865$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.08 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 43c | 7,820$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.49 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 44c | 7,662$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.87 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 7,642$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.82 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 49c | 6,811$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 6,002$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.08 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Yes | 56c | 5,647$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.22 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Yes | 54c | 5,593$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.27 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,838$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.93 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 51c | 4,584$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.87 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 52c | 4,473$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.47 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 49c | 4,471$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.54 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 53c | 4,444$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.68 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 4,413$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.28 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 1c | 4,047$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes | 59c | 3,731$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.13 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 42c | 3,685$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.62 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 58c | 3,621$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.69 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 56c | 3,557$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.29 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 58c | 3,536$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.21 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…7784backed No | 45c | 3,353$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 57c | 3,146$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.27 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 44c | 3,079$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.61 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…98c0backed No | 49c | 3,007$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 2,778$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.39 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 43c | 2,692$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.56 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 56c | 2,603$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.5 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 56c | 2,561$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.84 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 2,135$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.4 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 2,041$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.23 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 58c | 1,999$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.75 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…82e5backed No | 50c | 1,593$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Yes | 55c | 1,454$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…6c34backed Yes | 59c | 1,357$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.56 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.45 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Yes | 56c | 1,300$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 51c | 1,298$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.01 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…a698backed Yes | 46c | 1,243$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 44c | 1,060$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 58c | 1,041$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.16 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked No | 56c | 1,040$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.87 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…f540backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 64c | 895.04$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed No | 43c | 874.42$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 58c | 862$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…b0ecbacked Yes | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 59c | 847.45$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.15 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 56c | 833.05$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Yes | 56c | 829.22$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.22 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 44c | 793.23$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 39c | 789.63$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 57c | 702.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.43 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 48c | 676.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 60c | 650$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 609.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…32fdbacked Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 237 | 47.3%112 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 55c | 597.6$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 594.42$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 51c | 535.79$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 522.32$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 44c | 518.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France leading at halftime?this page
- Norway leading at halftime?No won
- Norway vs. France: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.